沙田 · 2022-04-03 · 12:46
第 1場
2022-04-03沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的SCIENCE PATCH勝出，贏出SH。WOODFIRE BRO獲得亞軍；GALLANT HERO獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SCIENCE PATCH B 1.09.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 2.9 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | WOODFIRE BRO TT1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 2 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | GALLANT HERO J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 10 | 9.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 14 | 6.1 | 1 |
| 5 | 14 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | DOUBLE SHOW SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 80.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY MATADOR B/TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 5 | 79.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | TOUCH FAITH V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 13 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | CALL ME LU TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 12 | 172.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | GLORIFIED FIRE K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 3 | 16.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 1 | 9.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 11 | 53.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | FORTUNE MARBO B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 8 | 150.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SCIENCE PATCH | 26.7% | 3.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | GALLANT HERO | 19.0% | 5.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | GOOD BEAUTY | 13.0% | 7.70 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 10.2% | 9.78 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY QUALITY | 6.5% | 15.46 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | TOUCH FAITH | 5.6% | 17.84 | 9 |
| 7 | 14 | ROYAL AGILITY | 5.3% | 18.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 4.1% | 24.27 | 13 |
| 9 | 6 | WOODFIRE BRO | 2.8% | 36.21 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 2.5% | 40.24 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY MATADOR | 1.7% | 58.83 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | DOUBLE SHOW | 1.1% | 88.56 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | FORTUNE MARBO | 0.8% | 121.18 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | CALL ME LU | 0.7% | 138.45 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 29.5
PLACE
2 13
6 16.5
8 27.5
QUINELLA
2,6 74.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 32.5
2,8 49.5
6,8 68
FORECAST
2,6 141
TIERCE
2,6,8 643
TRIO
2,6,8 193
FIRST 4
2,6,8,10 164
QUARTET
2,6,8,10 1,838
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —