沙田 · 2022-04-03 · 16:43
第 8場
2022-04-03沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、T P Yung訓練的DRAGON PRIDE勝出，贏出SH。PRESIDENT'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；BEAUTY SPIRIT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門FREE FOAL跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | DRAGON PRIDE 後段發力 1.34.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 3 | 7.5 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 後段發力 J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 11 | 12.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT 早段領放 B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | COPARTNER ERA 後段發力 B C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 9 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | DECISIVE ACTION 後段發力 CP/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 10 | 73.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | FREE FOAL CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 3.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | LOTUS FAVORITES 後段發力 H M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | TOYCOON 後段發力 CP C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | NOBLE STEED B- L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 2 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CORDYCEPS TWO H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 8.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 58.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | STRATHMORETOO 後段發力 B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 13 | 181.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | GENERAL WINNER CP K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 6 | 5.2 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FREE FOAL | 20.8% | 4.80 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | GENERAL WINNER | 19.3% | 5.17 | 14 |
| 3 | 13 | DRAGON PRIDE | 12.4% | 8.07 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 7.0% | 14.30 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 6.9% | 14.53 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | CORDYCEPS TWO | 6.3% | 15.79 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | TOYCOON | 6.3% | 15.92 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 6.0% | 16.74 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | COPARTNER ERA | 4.9% | 20.32 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | LOYAL AMBITION | 3.3% | 30.37 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | NOBLE STEED | 3.0% | 33.06 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | DECISIVE ACTION | 1.4% | 73.66 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | STRATHMORETOO | 1.2% | 83.48 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | GREAT TREASURE | 1.2% | 85.68 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 75.5
PLACE
1 42.5
11 38
13 26
QUINELLA
11,13 427
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 258
1,13 183.5
11,13 141.5
FORECAST
13,11 960
TIERCE
13,11,1 11,168
TRIO
1,11,13 1,934
FIRST 4
1,6,11,13 6,303
QUARTET
13,11,1,6 105,759
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 30.5
7TH DOUBLE
1/11 92.5
1/13 293