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Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 16:43

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly 1.34.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · T P Yung 3 7.5 SH
2 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly J Moreira · C W Chang 11 12.0 SH
3 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT Led early B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 7 15.0 1-3/4
4 0 COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B C Y Ho · W Y So 9 20.0 1-3/4
5 0 DECISIVE ACTION Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · C S Shum 10 73.0 2-3/4
6 0 FREE FOAL CP Z Purton · F C Lor 5 3.6 3-1/4
7 0 LOTUS FAVORITES Closed strongly H M F Poon · D J Hall 14 7.8 3-1/4
8 0 GREAT TREASURE Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 8 55.0 4
9 0 TOYCOON Closed strongly CP C L Chau · P F Yiu 12 11.0 4-1/4
10 0 NOBLE STEED B- L Ferraris · K W Lui 2 31.0 4-1/2
11 0 CORDYCEPS TWO H Bentley · C H Yip 4 8.3 4-1/2
12 0 LOYAL AMBITION H/TT C Wong · C Fownes 1 58.0 4-3/4
13 0 STRATHMORETOO Closed strongly B H T Mo · A T Millard 13 181.0 5-1/4
14 0 GENERAL WINNER CP K Teetan · K H Ting 6 5.2 7-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON PRIDE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with PRESIDENT'S CHOICE second and BEAUTY SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite FREE FOAL finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DRAGON PRIDE—2. PRESIDENT'S CHOICE+0.1L3. BEAUTY SPIRIT+1.75L4. COPARTNER ERA+1.75L5. DECISIVE ACTION+2.75L6. FREE FOAL+3.25L7. LOTUS FAVORITES+3.25L8. GREAT TREASURE+4L9. TOYCOON+4.25L10. NOBLE STEED+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick FREE FOAL (20.8%) finished 6th — the winner DRAGON PRIDE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FREE FOAL 20.8% 4.80 6
2 0 GENERAL WINNER 19.3% 5.17 14
3 0 DRAGON PRIDE 12.4% 8.07 1
4 0 BEAUTY SPIRIT 7.0% 14.30 3
5 0 LOTUS FAVORITES 6.9% 14.53 7
6 0 CORDYCEPS TWO 6.3% 15.79 11
7 0 TOYCOON 6.3% 15.92 9
8 0 PRESIDENT'S CHOICE 6.0% 16.74 2
9 0 COPARTNER ERA 4.9% 20.32 4
10 0 LOYAL AMBITION 3.3% 30.37 12
11 0 NOBLE STEED 3.0% 33.06 10
12 0 DECISIVE ACTION 1.4% 73.66 5
13 0 STRATHMORETOO 1.2% 83.48 13
14 0 GREAT TREASURE 1.2% 85.68 8
FREE FOALGENERAL WINNERDRAGON PRIDE — wonBEAUTY SPIRITLOTUS FAVORITESCORDYCEPS TWOTOYCOONPRESIDENT'S CHOICECOPARTNER ERALOYAL AMBITIONNOBLE STEEDDECISIVE ACTIONSTRATHMORETOOGREAT TREASURE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 75.5

PLACE

1 42.5

11 38

13 26

QUINELLA

11,13 427

QUINELLA PLACE

1,11 258

1,13 183.5

11,13 141.5

FORECAST

13,11 960

TIERCE

13,11,1 11,168

TRIO

1,11,13 1,934

FIRST 4

1,6,11,13 6,303

QUARTET

13,11,1,6 105,759

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 30.5

7TH DOUBLE

1/11 92.5

1/13 293