Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 16:11
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WELLINGTON XB 1.08.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 7 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 8.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MASTER EIGHT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 1 | 3.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS B/E/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COMPUTER PATCH TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 2 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER WEALTHY H K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | STRONGER SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | KURPANY B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 5 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Group 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WELLINGTON, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by N, with SIGHT SUCCESS second and MASTER EIGHT third. The 3.2 favourite MASTER EIGHT finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER EIGHT | 30.8% | 3.25 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN | 15.3% | 6.53 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER WEALTHY | 14.5% | 6.90 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 12.0% | 8.34 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | KURPANY | 8.2% | 12.21 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | STRONGER | 6.7% | 14.85 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | WELLINGTON | 5.8% | 17.23 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 4.2% | 23.92 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | COMPUTER PATCH | 2.5% | 39.65 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 54.5
PLACE
1 18.5
7 25.5
8 15
QUINELLA
1,7 286
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 97.5
1,8 46.5
7,8 46.5
FORECAST
1,7 485
TIERCE
1,7,8 1,752
TRIO
1,7,8 252
FIRST 4
1,6,7,8 577
QUARTET
1,7,8,6 12,696
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,11/1,7,8 135,457
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 175
3/7 67.5