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Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 15:40

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HAPPY DAY Closed strongly TT 1.22.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · W Y So 10 3.7 1-1/4
2 0 SUPER HORNET Led early SR-/B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 5 60.0 1-1/4
3 0 FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui 12 10.0 1-1/4
4 0 SPARKY STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung 11 2.5 1-3/4
5 0 KASI FARASI TT H Bentley · C H Yip 4 13.0 2-1/4
6 0 AURORA HERO B Shinn · P O'Sullivan 3 54.0 2-1/2
7 0 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR CP- K C Leung · P F Yiu 7 9.7 2-1/2
8 0 BUDDY SPIRIT Closed strongly B1 C L Chau · C H Yip 8 75.0 3-1/2
9 0 REACH GOAL TT A Hamelin · R Gibson 2 108.0 4-3/4
10 0 HANDSOME VEGGIE K Teetan · D A Hayes 6 6.4 5-1/4
11 0 SPICY SKEWER CP1 M Chadwick · K L Man 1 28.0 5-3/4
12 0 HAPPY PROFIT TT V Borges · C S Shum 9 40.0 9-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY DAY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER HORNET second and FANTASTIC SHOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SPARKY STAR finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY DAY—2. SUPER HORNET+1.25L3. FANTASTIC SHOW+1.25L4. SPARKY STAR+1.75L5. KASI FARASI+2.25L6. AURORA HERO+2.5L7. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR+2.5L8. BUDDY SPIRIT+3.5L9. REACH GOAL+4.75L10. HANDSOME VEGGIE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick HAPPY DAY (32.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HAPPY DAY 32.2% 3.10 1
2 0 SPARKY STAR 20.8% 4.80 4
3 0 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 13.9% 7.20 7
4 0 SPICY SKEWER 8.1% 12.38 11
5 0 HANDSOME VEGGIE 7.0% 14.24 10
6 0 FANTASTIC SHOW 4.6% 21.81 3
7 0 KASI FARASI 3.4% 29.43 5
8 0 HAPPY PROFIT 3.1% 32.64 12
9 0 REACH GOAL 2.8% 35.79 9
10 0 AURORA HERO 2.1% 47.07 6
11 0 SUPER HORNET 1.0% 97.94 2
12 0 BUDDY SPIRIT 0.9% 107.49 8
HAPPY DAY — wonSPARKY STARPLEASANT ENDEAVORSPICY SKEWERHANDSOME VEGGIEFANTASTIC SHOWKASI FARASIHAPPY PROFITREACH GOALAURORA HEROSUPER HORNETBUDDY SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 37.5

PLACE

3 16

7 26

11 112.5

QUINELLA

3,11 945

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 83

3,11 242

7,11 574

FORECAST

3,11 2,144

TIERCE

3,11,7 16,889

TRIO

3,7,11 2,558

FIRST 4

3,7,8,11 1,123

QUARTET

3,11,7,8 50,120

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 15

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

7/3 93.5

7/11 367.5

TRIPLE TRIO

3,7,9/1,4,7/3,7,11 5,287,374

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,7,9/1,4,7/Any Combination 2,868