Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 15:40
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY DAY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with SUPER HORNET second and FANTASTIC SHOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SPARKY STAR finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY DAY Closed strongly TT 1.22.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 10 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER HORNET Led early SR-/B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 60.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 11 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | KASI FARASI TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | AURORA HERO B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 54.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR CP- K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | BUDDY SPIRIT Closed strongly B1 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 8 | 75.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | REACH GOAL TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 2 | 108.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HANDSOME VEGGIE K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SPICY SKEWER CP1 M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | HAPPY PROFIT TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 9 | 40.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAPPY DAY | 32.2% | 3.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SPARKY STAR | 20.8% | 4.80 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 13.9% | 7.20 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | SPICY SKEWER | 8.1% | 12.38 | 11 |
| 5 | 10 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 7.0% | 14.24 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 4.6% | 21.81 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | KASI FARASI | 3.4% | 29.43 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY PROFIT | 3.1% | 32.64 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | REACH GOAL | 2.8% | 35.79 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | AURORA HERO | 2.1% | 47.07 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER HORNET | 1.0% | 97.94 | 2 |
| 12 | 9 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 0.9% | 107.49 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37.5
PLACE
3 16
7 26
11 112.5
QUINELLA
3,11 945
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 83
3,11 242
7,11 574
FORECAST
3,11 2,144
TIERCE
3,11,7 16,889
TRIO
3,7,11 2,558
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 1,123
QUARTET
3,11,7,8 50,120
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15
5TH DOUBLE
7/3 93.5
7/11 367.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,7,9/1,4,7/3,7,11 5,287,374
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,7,9/1,4,7/Any Combination 2,868