Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 13:46

Race 3

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 9 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.54
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EN POINTE Closed strongly CP 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 9 3.0 1-1/2
2 0 ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 4 4.8 1-1/2
3 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly CP K Teetan · F C Lor 1 18.0 2-1/2
4 0 DOUBLE SIX POP Led early V Borges · A T Millard 7 17.0 3
5 0 CALIFORNIA SKY H1/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 3 4.3 4-1/2
6 0 COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size 6 6.0 5-1/2
7 0 BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H L Hewitson · K W Lui 8 134.0 6-3/4
8 0 SUPER TEN B/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte 2 7.0 7-1/4
9 0 SUNSET WATCH TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 5 62.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EN POINTE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with ROYAL BOMB second and CHEVALIER PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EN POINTE—2. ROYAL BOMB+1.5L3. CHEVALIER PRINCE+2.5L4. DOUBLE SIX POP+3L5. CALIFORNIA SKY+4.5L6. COUNTRY BOY+5.5L7. BORN THE SAME DAY+6.75L8. SUPER TEN+7.25L9. SUNSET WATCH+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick EN POINTE (38.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 EN POINTE 38.9% 2.57 1
2 0 CALIFORNIA SKY 28.0% 3.57 5
3 0 ROYAL BOMB 9.4% 10.69 2
4 0 SUPER TEN 7.2% 13.94 8
5 0 CHEVALIER PRINCE 5.6% 17.88 3
6 0 COUNTRY BOY 5.0% 19.92 6
7 0 DOUBLE SIX POP 4.0% 24.72 4
8 0 SUNSET WATCH 1.4% 69.64 9
9 0 BORN THE SAME DAY 0.5% 213.68 7
EN POINTE — wonCALIFORNIA SKYROYAL BOMBSUPER TENCHEVALIER PRINCECOUNTRY BOYDOUBLE SIX POPSUNSET WATCHBORN THE SAME DAY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 30.5

PLACE

1 14.5

3 13

8 41.5

QUINELLA

1,3 73.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 28

1,8 117.5

3,8 82

FORECAST

3,1 113

TIERCE

3,1,8 1,242

TRIO

1,3,8 332

FIRST 4

1,3,8,9 765

QUARTET

3,1,8,9 8,178

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

4/1 64.5

4/3 293.5

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 18