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Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 13:46

Race 3

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 9 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. EN POINTE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1-1/2, with ROYAL BOMB second and CHEVALIER PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.54
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 EN POINTE Closed strongly CP 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor 9 3.0 1-1/2
2 1 ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly CP/TT B Shinn · C Fownes 4 4.8 1-1/2
3 8 CHEVALIER PRINCE Closed strongly CP K Teetan · F C Lor 1 18.0 2-1/2
4 9 DOUBLE SIX POP Led early V Borges · A T Millard 7 17.0 3
5 5 CALIFORNIA SKY H1/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 3 4.3 4-1/2
6 7 COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT A Badel · J Size 6 6.0 5-1/2
7 4 BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H L Hewitson · K W Lui 8 134.0 6-3/4
8 2 SUPER TEN B/XB L Ferraris · D J Whyte 2 7.0 7-1/4
9 6 SUNSET WATCH TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 5 62.0 8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EN POINTE2. ROYAL BOMB+1.5L3. CHEVALIER PRINCE+2.5L4. DOUBLE SIX POP+3L5. CALIFORNIA SKY+4.5L6. COUNTRY BOY+5.5L7. BORN THE SAME DAY+6.75L8. SUPER TEN+7.25L9. SUNSET WATCH+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick EN POINTE (38.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 EN POINTE 38.9% 2.57 1
2 5 CALIFORNIA SKY 28.0% 3.57 5
3 1 ROYAL BOMB 9.4% 10.69 2
4 2 SUPER TEN 7.2% 13.94 8
5 8 CHEVALIER PRINCE 5.6% 17.88 3
6 7 COUNTRY BOY 5.0% 19.92 6
7 9 DOUBLE SIX POP 4.0% 24.72 4
8 6 SUNSET WATCH 1.4% 69.64 9
9 4 BORN THE SAME DAY 0.5% 213.68 7
EN POINTE — wonCALIFORNIA SKYROYAL BOMBSUPER TENCHEVALIER PRINCECOUNTRY BOYDOUBLE SIX POPSUNSET WATCHBORN THE SAME DAY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 30.5

PLACE

1 14.5

3 13

8 41.5

QUINELLA

1,3 73.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 28

1,8 117.5

3,8 82

FORECAST

3,1 113

TIERCE

3,1,8 1,242

TRIO

1,3,8 332

FIRST 4

1,3,8,9 765

QUARTET

3,1,8,9 8,178

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

4/1 64.5

4/3 293.5

3 PICK 1

A3

A2

A1 18