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Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 17:18

Race 9

Group 2 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with RUSSIAN EMPEROR second and SAVVY NINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.32.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.32.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 1.6 2
2 3 RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B B Shinn · D J Whyte 5 7.0 2
3 8 SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte 8 88.0 2-1/4
4 9 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT A Hamelin · J Size 9 85.0 2-1/4
5 11 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly B/E J Moreira · J Size 12 17.0 2-1/2
6 4 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly K Teetan · C S Shum 2 9.5 2-1/2
7 12 CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B- H Bentley · K W Lui 6 31.0 4
8 10 BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT V Borges · C S Shum 7 92.0 4
9 6 TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 11 30.0 4-1/2
10 5 KA YING STAR V/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz 4 20.0 4-3/4
11 7 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 3 71.0 5
12 2 WAIKUKU Z Purton · J Size 10 8.2 19-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY2. RUSSIAN EMPEROR+2L3. SAVVY NINE+2.25L4. CHAMPION'S WAY+2.25L5. EXCELLENT PROPOSAL+2.5L6. MORE THAN THIS+2.5L7. CHEERFUL DAYS+4L8. BUTTERFIELD+4L9. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+4.5L10. KA YING STAR+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (17.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GOLDEN SIXTY 17.5% 5.72 1
2 2 WAIKUKU 16.9% 5.90 12
3 3 RUSSIAN EMPEROR 16.4% 6.09 2
4 4 MORE THAN THIS 12.0% 8.37 6
5 11 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL 8.0% 12.52 5
6 12 CHEERFUL DAYS 6.2% 16.06 7
7 8 SAVVY NINE 4.7% 21.21 3
8 6 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 4.7% 21.24 9
9 10 BUTTERFIELD 4.5% 22.35 8
10 5 KA YING STAR 3.6% 27.83 10
11 9 CHAMPION'S WAY 2.8% 35.83 4
12 7 HEALTHY HAPPY 2.7% 37.16 11
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonWAIKUKURUSSIAN EMPERORMORE THAN THISEXCELLENT PROPOSALCHEERFUL DAYSSAVVY NINETOURBILLON DIAMONDBUTTERFIELDKA YING STARCHAMPION'S WAYHEALTHY HAPPY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 16

PLACE

1 10.1

3 20

8 125

QUINELLA

1,3 52

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 26

1,8 173

3,8 415.5

FORECAST

1,3 77

TIERCE

1,3,8 2,016

TRIO

1,3,8 601

FIRST 4

1,3,8,9 4,022

QUARTET

1,3,8,9 32,967

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A3

A1 13.5

8TH DOUBLE

13/1 106

13/3 87

WINNING TRAINER

B4

B1 15.5

B2

B3