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Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 17:18

Race 9

Group 2 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.32.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.32.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 1.6 2
2 0 RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly B B Shinn · D J Whyte 5 7.0 2
3 0 SAVVY NINE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte 8 88.0 2-1/4
4 0 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P/TT A Hamelin · J Size 9 85.0 2-1/4
5 0 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly B/E J Moreira · J Size 12 17.0 2-1/2
6 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly K Teetan · C S Shum 2 9.5 2-1/2
7 0 CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B- H Bentley · K W Lui 6 31.0 4
8 0 BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly TT V Borges · C S Shum 7 92.0 4
9 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 11 30.0 4-1/2
10 0 KA YING STAR V/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz 4 20.0 4-3/4
11 0 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 3 71.0 5
12 0 WAIKUKU Z Purton · J Size 10 8.2 19-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with RUSSIAN EMPEROR second and SAVVY NINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. RUSSIAN EMPEROR+2L3. SAVVY NINE+2.25L4. CHAMPION'S WAY+2.25L5. EXCELLENT PROPOSAL+2.5L6. MORE THAN THIS+2.5L7. CHEERFUL DAYS+4L8. BUTTERFIELD+4L9. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+4.5L10. KA YING STAR+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (17.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 17.5% 5.72 1
2 0 WAIKUKU 16.9% 5.90 12
3 0 RUSSIAN EMPEROR 16.4% 6.09 2
4 0 MORE THAN THIS 12.0% 8.37 6
5 0 EXCELLENT PROPOSAL 8.0% 12.52 5
6 0 CHEERFUL DAYS 6.2% 16.06 7
7 0 SAVVY NINE 4.7% 21.21 3
8 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 4.7% 21.24 9
9 0 BUTTERFIELD 4.5% 22.35 8
10 0 KA YING STAR 3.6% 27.83 10
11 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 2.8% 35.83 4
12 0 HEALTHY HAPPY 2.7% 37.16 11
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonWAIKUKURUSSIAN EMPERORMORE THAN THISEXCELLENT PROPOSALCHEERFUL DAYSSAVVY NINETOURBILLON DIAMONDBUTTERFIELDKA YING STARCHAMPION'S WAYHEALTHY HAPPY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 16

PLACE

1 10.1

3 20

8 125

QUINELLA

1,3 52

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 26

1,8 173

3,8 415.5

FORECAST

1,3 77

TIERCE

1,3,8 2,016

TRIO

1,3,8 601

FIRST 4

1,3,8,9 4,022

QUARTET

1,3,8,9 32,967

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 13.5

A2 —

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

13/1 106

13/3 87

WINNING TRAINER

B1 15.5

B2 —

B3 —

B4 —