Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 13:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KUNG FU TEA, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with NOBLE MAN second and MULTIPLE STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite G ONE EXCELLENT finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B 1.23.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 8.5 | N |
| 2 | 14 | NOBLE MAN B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | MULTIPLE STAR Closed strongly H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 12 | 82.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | SMART FOLKS Led early B2 A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 14 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MOONLUCK Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | VIVA CHEF Closed strongly B-/P1 M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 13 | 75.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TOWARDS SUCCESS Closed strongly XB1/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | G ONE EXCELLENT TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 4 | 3.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | SHENRON XB2/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 9 | 35.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | DESTIN B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 5.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | FORTUNE HERO B/TT B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 10 | 61.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | LIGHT MY DAY B/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 2 | 21.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 13 | SCHOLAR B/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 5 | 37.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 25.9% | 3.87 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | DESTIN | 21.3% | 4.69 | 11 |
| 3 | 5 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 12.8% | 7.82 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | LIGHT MY DAY | 10.9% | 9.21 | 13 |
| 5 | 7 | MOONLUCK | 6.1% | 16.50 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 6.0% | 16.54 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | KUNG FU TEA | 3.4% | 29.04 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | SHENRON | 2.9% | 34.92 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | SMART FOLKS | 2.5% | 40.35 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | NOBLE MAN | 2.2% | 45.35 | 2 |
| 11 | 13 | SCHOLAR | 1.9% | 52.70 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | VIVA CHEF | 1.8% | 54.42 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | FORTUNE HERO | 1.7% | 59.64 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | MULTIPLE STAR | 0.7% | 152.93 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 85
PLACE
4 26.5
12 187.5
14 41
QUINELLA
4,14 564.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 1,142.5
4,14 187
12,14 1,711.5
FORECAST
4,14 1,287
TIERCE
4,14,12 82,653
TRIO
4,12,14 16,719
FIRST 4
4,8,12,14 43,048
QUARTET
4,14,12,8 979,982
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/4 256.5
2/14 110
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 23