Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 14:18
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PRECISE EXPRESS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with TOTAL POWER second and LEADING FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite LEADING FORTUNE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H/TT 1.34.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.5 | N |
| 2 | 7 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 5 | 8.4 | N |
| 3 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | TURIN REDSTAR B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 61.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B2/H2/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY ANGEL CP B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 7 | 55.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | EZRA Closed strongly B C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 9 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 5.4 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | PALACE PAL M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 32.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | ODE TO JOY B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 25.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TOTAL POWER | 22.7% | 4.40 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE | 22.0% | 4.54 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | SUPER OASIS | 17.6% | 5.69 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | INFINITE POWER | 15.6% | 6.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 6.9% | 14.54 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | EZRA | 5.1% | 19.63 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | ODE TO JOY | 4.5% | 22.01 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | TURIN REDSTAR | 2.9% | 34.84 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | PALACE PAL | 1.9% | 53.83 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY ANGEL | 0.8% | 120.25 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 75
PLACE
3 13
7 22
9 20
QUINELLA
7,9 277.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 44.5
3,9 34
7,9 80
FORECAST
9,7 473
TIERCE
9,7,3 1,748
TRIO
3,7,9 229
FIRST 4
2,3,7,9 1,194
QUARTET
9,7,3,2 37,361
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,8/3,7,9 5,918
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 18.5
3RD DOUBLE
3/7 111
3/9 256