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Sha Tin · 2022-04-03 · 14:18

Race 4

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.48
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H/TT 1.34.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 8 7.5 N
2 0 TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall 5 8.4 N
3 0 LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B Z Purton · J Size 2 2.5 1-1/4
4 0 TURIN REDSTAR B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte 4 61.0 1-1/2
5 0 SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B2/H2/TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz 3 4.2 1-3/4
6 0 HAPPY ANGEL CP B Shinn · D A Hayes 7 55.0 3
7 0 EZRA Closed strongly B C L Chau · A T Millard 9 28.0 3-3/4
8 0 INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · F C Lor 6 5.4 5
9 0 PALACE PAL M L Yeung · T P Yung 10 32.0 6-3/4
10 0 ODE TO JOY B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 25.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-04-03 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PRECISE EXPRESS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with TOTAL POWER second and LEADING FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite LEADING FORTUNE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRECISE EXPRESS—2. TOTAL POWER+0.05L3. LEADING FORTUNE+1.25L4. TURIN REDSTAR+1.5L5. SUPER OASIS+1.75L6. HAPPY ANGEL+3L7. EZRA+3.75L8. INFINITE POWER+5L9. PALACE PAL+6.75L10. ODE TO JOY+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick TOTAL POWER (22.7%) finished 2nd — the winner PRECISE EXPRESS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TOTAL POWER 22.7% 4.40 2
2 0 LEADING FORTUNE 22.0% 4.54 3
3 0 SUPER OASIS 17.6% 5.69 5
4 0 INFINITE POWER 15.6% 6.41 8
5 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 6.9% 14.54 1
6 0 EZRA 5.1% 19.63 7
7 0 ODE TO JOY 4.5% 22.01 10
8 0 TURIN REDSTAR 2.9% 34.84 4
9 0 PALACE PAL 1.9% 53.83 9
10 0 HAPPY ANGEL 0.8% 120.25 6
TOTAL POWERLEADING FORTUNESUPER OASISINFINITE POWERPRECISE EXPRESS — wonEZRAODE TO JOYTURIN REDSTARPALACE PALHAPPY ANGEL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 75

PLACE

3 13

7 22

9 20

QUINELLA

7,9 277.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 44.5

3,9 34

7,9 80

FORECAST

9,7 473

TIERCE

9,7,3 1,748

TRIO

3,7,9 229

FIRST 4

2,3,7,9 1,194

QUARTET

9,7,3,2 37,361

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,8/3,7,9 5,918

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 18.5

3RD DOUBLE

3/7 111

3/9 256