跑馬地 · 2022-04-13 · 19:46
第 3場
2022-04-13跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、A S Cruz訓練的STREET SCREAM勝出，贏出1-1/2。TAKE WHAT YOU NEED獲得亞軍；MELBOURNE HALL獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門AMIGOS GIGGLE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT 1.10.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 39.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | MELBOURNE HALL H/XB H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 6 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | AMIGOS GIGGLE J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 2.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | KING'S TROOPER TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 54.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | MIRACLE VICTORY TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | MEDIC ELITE B/TT C Y Ho · P O'Sullivan | C Y Ho | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 76.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER KINGDOM B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 75.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | NORDIC COMBINED B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 1 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | ARES B H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 4 | 8.1 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 27.1% | 3.69 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | MIRACLE VICTORY | 12.9% | 7.73 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 10.9% | 9.20 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | STREET SCREAM | 8.6% | 11.58 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 7.0% | 14.39 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | KING'S TROOPER | 6.4% | 15.58 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 6.2% | 16.09 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | NORDIC COMBINED | 6.1% | 16.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | MELBOURNE HALL | 5.5% | 18.19 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | ARES | 3.7% | 26.81 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER KINGDOM | 3.3% | 29.95 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | MEDIC ELITE | 2.2% | 44.98 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 85.5
PLACE
3 24
8 74.5
10 62
QUINELLA
3,8 1,127.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 270.5
3,10 270
8,10 758.5
FORECAST
3,8 1,730
TIERCE
3,8,10 26,229
TRIO
3,8,10 6,391
FIRST 4
2,3,8,10 6,896
QUARTET
3,8,10,2 168,073
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 224.5
5/8 164.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 21.5
A1 —