跑馬地 · 2022-04-13 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-04-13跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、D J Whyte訓練的SMILING CITY勝出，贏出1-1/4。HARDLY SWEARS獲得亞軍；WINS ALL獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門CHARMING STEED跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SMILING CITY V 1.10.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | WINS ALL TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | CHARMING STEED B1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 4.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | TURQUOISE HOPE B/TT L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 86.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | SEE U AGAIN Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 4.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | EUROMISSILE B/H/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 39.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SIGHT HERO B/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 44.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | AHEAD A HEAD B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 105.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | FIRE BALL B-/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 29.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | BAEBAE TSOI CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 18.0 | 22-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CHARMING STEED | 23.1% | 4.33 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | SEE U AGAIN | 22.8% | 4.39 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | SIGHT HERO | 14.0% | 7.17 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS | 6.6% | 15.11 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | SMILING CITY | 6.0% | 16.76 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | WINS ALL | 5.8% | 17.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | EUROMISSILE | 5.3% | 18.70 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | WIND SPEEDER | 5.2% | 19.31 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | FIRE BALL | 4.5% | 22.12 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | BAEBAE TSOI | 3.6% | 27.67 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | AHEAD A HEAD | 2.4% | 42.02 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | TURQUOISE HOPE | 0.8% | 132.27 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 58.5
PLACE
4 35.5
7 20.5
11 17
QUINELLA
4,7 372.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 119.5
4,11 124
7,11 56
FORECAST
7,4 846
TIERCE
7,4,11 3,243
TRIO
4,7,11 605
FIRST 4
2,4,7,11 635
QUARTET
7,4,11,2 20,121
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/4,7,11 55,011
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20
4TH DOUBLE
3/4 99.5
3/7 345