沙田 · 2022-05-07 · 14:32
第 4場
2022-05-07沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的MAJESTIC KNIGHT勝出，贏出3-1/4。DRAGON KINGDOM獲得亞軍；WIDE BLUE YONDER獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門DRAGON KINGDOM跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT CP-/B1 1.09.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | DRAGON KINGDOM K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 2.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | WIDE BLUE YONDER CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | MARADO B1 R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 9.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY P/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 7.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | GRACYLOVE L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 1 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | ALL IS READY B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 23.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | YOUNG EXPLORER A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 88.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GLENEALY GENERALS B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 43.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | HA LEE CHARM V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 30.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | DREAM BOSS TT1 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 4.2 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 27.7% | 3.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | DREAM BOSS | 22.0% | 4.54 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 21.7% | 4.61 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | MARADO | 6.3% | 15.90 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 4.0% | 25.15 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | GOOD BEAUTY | 3.9% | 25.82 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | ALL IS READY | 3.5% | 28.55 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | HA LEE CHARM | 3.3% | 30.72 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | STRIVE FOR GLORY | 3.1% | 32.28 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 2.3% | 42.82 | 1 |
| 11 | 3 | GRACYLOVE | 1.8% | 55.60 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 0.4% | 227.80 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 150
PLACE
1 42
7 32
11 14
QUINELLA
1,11 215.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 246.5
1,11 85
7,11 74
FORECAST
1,11 493
TIERCE
1,11,7 6,738
TRIO
1,7,11 953
FIRST 4
1,2,7,11 1,823
QUARTET
1,11,7,2 53,050
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,8/1,7,11 84,919
3 PICK 1
A3 32
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 1,656
6/11 79.5