沙田 · 2022-05-07 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-05-07沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Wong策騎、C H Yip訓練的FAULDS勝出，贏出2-3/4。ENCHANTING IBIS獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA VANES獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門CALIFORNIA VANES跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FAULDS XB/TT 1.09.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 35.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | ENCHANTING IBIS A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 8 | 5.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 2.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 7.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | SUGAR SUGAR H-/B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 1 | 7.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL H/TT2 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 5 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | DAZZLING FELLOW TT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 4 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | QUORUM B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 6 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | TO INFINITY R Maia · P O'Sullivan | R Maia | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 55.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | FANTASY SPRING B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 65.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | KING ECCELLENTE SR1/XB1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 12 | 10.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 34.4% | 2.91 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | ENCHANTING IBIS | 18.6% | 5.36 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | SUGAR SUGAR | 10.7% | 9.34 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 8.3% | 12.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | KING ECCELLENTE | 6.4% | 15.56 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | TO INFINITY | 4.7% | 21.12 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | FAULDS | 4.7% | 21.25 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 4.4% | 22.89 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | FANTASY SPRING | 2.8% | 35.45 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL | 2.2% | 44.64 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | QUORUM | 1.7% | 57.70 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 1.0% | 104.65 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 356
PLACE
1 16
2 73
4 12
QUINELLA
1,2 759.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 204
1,4 29
2,4 121
FORECAST
2,1 1,113
TIERCE
2,1,4 3,429
TRIO
1,2,4 453
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 523
QUARTET
2,1,4,8 20,223
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 42
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
9/1 95.5
9/2 3,025
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,11/1,3,9/Any Combination 284,586