跑馬地 · 2022-05-11 · 20:16
第 4場
2022-05-11跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由R Maia策騎、A T Millard訓練的ABOVE ALL勝出，贏出3-1/4。EXCELLENT PEERS獲得亞軍；SMILING CITY獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門STARRY NIGHT跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ABOVE ALL H/XB 1.12.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 4 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB1/TT- J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SMILING CITY V M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 9 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B2 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | HARDLY SWEARS C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HARRIER JET B L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TUCHEL L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 1 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | WINNING ICEY TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 6 | 6.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | STARRY NIGHT CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SO AWESOME B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 5 | 5.2 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 3 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | ENCORE TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 65.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | STARRY NIGHT | 21.1% | 4.75 | 9 |
| 2 | 9 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 20.7% | 4.82 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING ICEY | 9.6% | 10.41 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | TUCHEL | 9.1% | 10.94 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | SO AWESOME | 8.2% | 12.24 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | ABOVE ALL | 7.4% | 13.54 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | SMILING CITY | 5.8% | 17.28 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR | 5.4% | 18.67 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 5.3% | 19.04 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | HARDLY SWEARS | 3.7% | 27.30 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | HARRIER JET | 3.0% | 33.36 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | ENCORE | 0.8% | 118.54 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 92.5
PLACE
1 56.5
9 17.5
12 25.5
QUINELLA
9,12 199.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 169.5
1,12 228
9,12 68
FORECAST
12,9 407
TIERCE
12,9,1 6,486
TRIO
1,9,12 1,280
FIRST 4
1,6,9,12 5,544
QUARTET
12,9,1,6 98,016
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 19
3RD DOUBLE
4/9 46.5
4/12 638