跑馬地 · 2022-05-11 · 22:53
第 9場
2022-05-11跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的ASTROLOGER勝出，贏出1/2。YO BEAUTY獲得亞軍；LUCKY SWEYNESSE獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門LUCKY SWEYNESSE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ASTROLOGER SR 1.10.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 1.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | HERE COMES TED B/TT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 3 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 8 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | EXUBERANT B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 11 | 29.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 32.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | GLUCK RACER V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 10 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 9 | 36.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | MERIDIAN GENIUS A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 26.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 6 | STOCK LEGEND H/TT J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 12 | 23.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 46.0% | 2.18 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | HERE COMES TED | 6.6% | 15.21 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | STOCK LEGEND | 6.4% | 15.54 | 12 |
| 4 | 12 | YO BEAUTY | 6.3% | 15.97 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | ASTROLOGER | 5.4% | 18.43 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | WINE AND WINE | 5.4% | 18.61 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 5.0% | 20.01 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | GLUCK RACER | 4.8% | 20.74 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 4.4% | 22.79 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | WILD WEST WING | 4.1% | 24.24 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | EXUBERANT | 3.2% | 31.02 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 2.4% | 41.46 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 80
PLACE
1 20
2 11.5
12 27.5
QUINELLA
1,12 495
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 28
1,12 112
2,12 45
FORECAST
1,12 1,079
TIERCE
1,12,2 2,518
TRIO
1,2,12 175
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 253
QUARTET
1,12,2,4 11,056
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 23.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,11>4,8/1,2,12 26,196
8TH DOUBLE
4,8/1 467.5
4,8/12 191.5
SIX UP
9,12/10,12/10,12/2,7/1,4,8/1,12 160,831
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/4,8/1 6,285
2/4,8/12 3,666