跑馬地 · 2022-05-11 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-05-11跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、F C Lor訓練的GORGEOUS VITALITY勝出，贏出3-3/4。VIVA MAMA獲得亞軍；SERGEANT PEPPER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GORGEOUS VITALITY 0.58.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | VIVA MAMA CP/TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 3 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 9 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 8 | 8.6 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | VAMOS H A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 10 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | JUMBO LEGEND H1/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER COMMANDER B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | LESLIE B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 11 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | HERO STAR CP-/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 7.1 | 6 |
| 10 | 8 | DIAMOND SOARS R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 37.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 4 | 26.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | TURQUOISE HOPE B/TT L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 47.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VIVA MAMA | 24.0% | 4.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | LESLIE | 21.3% | 4.69 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 16.6% | 6.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | HERO STAR | 11.2% | 8.96 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER COMMANDER | 6.0% | 16.57 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | JUMBO LEGEND | 5.1% | 19.53 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 4.6% | 21.79 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 4.3% | 23.41 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | VAMOS | 4.2% | 23.74 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | TURQUOISE HOPE | 1.0% | 99.28 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | DIAMOND SOARS | 0.9% | 114.37 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 0.8% | 128.18 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 22.5
PLACE
5 87
10 11
12 20
QUINELLA
10,12 86
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 228
5,12 373
10,12 37
FORECAST
10,12 144
TIERCE
10,12,5 4,098
TRIO
5,10,12 1,384
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 1,426
QUARTET
10,12,5,9 22,045
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,12/5,10,12 289,242
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17.5
4TH DOUBLE
12/10 335.5
12/12 148.5