Happy Valley · 2022-05-11 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GORGEOUS VITALITY 0.58.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 2.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | VIVA MAMA CP/TT K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 3 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SERGEANT PEPPER L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 9 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 8 | 8.6 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | VAMOS H A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 10 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | JUMBO LEGEND H1/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 37.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER COMMANDER B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HERO STAR CP-/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 7.1 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND SOARS R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 37.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 4 | 26.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | TURQUOISE HOPE B/TT L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 47.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | CIRCUIT SEVEN · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LESLIE B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | — | 11.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-11 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on YIELDING going. GORGEOUS VITALITY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 3-3/4, with VIVA MAMA second and SERGEANT PEPPER third. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA MAMA | 24.0% | 4.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LESLIE | 21.3% | 4.69 | — |
| 3 | 0 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 16.6% | 6.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | HERO STAR | 11.2% | 8.96 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER COMMANDER | 6.0% | 16.57 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | JUMBO LEGEND | 5.1% | 19.53 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 4.6% | 21.79 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 4.3% | 23.41 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | VAMOS | 4.2% | 23.74 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | TURQUOISE HOPE | 1.0% | 99.28 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | DIAMOND SOARS | 0.9% | 114.37 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 0.8% | 128.18 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 22.5
PLACE
5 87
10 11
12 20
QUINELLA
10,12 86
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 228
5,12 373
10,12 37
FORECAST
10,12 144
TIERCE
10,12,5 4,098
TRIO
5,10,12 1,384
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 1,426
QUARTET
10,12,5,9 22,045
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,12/5,10,12 289,242
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/10 335.5
12/12 148.5