Happy Valley · 2022-05-11 · 22:18
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. SEIZING THE MOMENT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by 1, with BE READY second and STREET SCREAM third. Victory came as the 5.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT B 1.11.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BE READY V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | STREET SCREAM B/H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | STORMTROUPER TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 7.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 1 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H2 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | DECISIVE TWELVE P/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 5 | 40.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SCIENCE PATCH B V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 9.3 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 7 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | PROUD DRAGON B A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 5.4 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | ROMAN TURBO B M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 6 | 9.4 | 11 |
| — | 8 | NEVER TOO SOON Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SEIZING THE MOMENT | 28.4% | 3.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | STORMTROUPER | 13.4% | 7.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | STREET SCREAM | 10.6% | 9.44 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | PROUD DRAGON | 9.3% | 10.73 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | BE READY | 8.4% | 11.88 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | MAGIC SUPREME | 8.3% | 12.10 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | SCIENCE PATCH | 8.2% | 12.19 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | ROMAN TURBO | 6.9% | 14.59 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 2.7% | 36.61 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 2.1% | 47.45 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 1.7% | 59.68 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 53.5
PLACE
1 44
4 18
11 22
QUINELLA
1,4 317.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 108.5
1,11 144
4,11 66
FORECAST
4,1 541
TIERCE
4,1,11 3,708
TRIO
1,4,11 659
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 534
QUARTET
4,1,11,10 10,448
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 53.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 326.5
2/4,8 1,207