Happy Valley · 2022-05-11 · 19:46
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT 1.42.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.8 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS Closed strongly P/XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.4 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 7 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI Closed strongly TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 2 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BABY B A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 9.9 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly CP H W Lai · D A Hayes | H W Lai | D A Hayes | 6 | 33.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY Led early H/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 5 | 25.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS B/H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 45.0 | 20-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HK DRAGON B/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.2 | 21-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ELIGERE Closed strongly B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 25.0 | 22 |
| 11 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION B1 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 11 | 9.1 | 23-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on YIELDING going. NIMBLE NIMBUS, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by P F Yiu, won by 5, with AMAZING NEWS second and REGENCY MASTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite AMAZING NEWS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 24.3% | 4.12 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HK DRAGON | 20.2% | 4.94 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 15.1% | 6.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BABY | 10.5% | 9.53 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 9.4% | 10.63 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | ELIGERE | 7.7% | 13.04 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION | 3.9% | 25.76 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 2.8% | 35.83 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 2.6% | 37.97 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 1.8% | 55.71 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 1.7% | 60.23 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 38
PLACE
4 15
7 78
11 15
QUINELLA
4,11 65.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 226.5
4,11 29.5
7,11 203.5
FORECAST
4,11 164
TIERCE
4,11,7 2,413
TRIO
4,7,11 659
FIRST 4
4,7,8,11 1,230
QUARTET
4,11,7,8 19,181
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/4 347.5
2/11 55
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18