Happy Valley · 2022-05-11 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly 2.20.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 7.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 1 | 4.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 5 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly XB/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 5.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 6.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 11 | 20.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 4 | 53.0 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | PASSING FASHION Led early XB/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | A A AGILITY B-/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 43.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ORIENTAL AMIGO V-/SR1/B2 A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 3 | 25.0 | 23-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-11 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on YIELDING going. FORTUNE TRIPLE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by N, with AMAZING BOY second and LOYAL AMBITION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite AMAZING BOY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 26.2% | 3.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 16.5% | 6.05 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 9.8% | 10.17 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 8.7% | 11.52 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SKY GEM | 8.2% | 12.20 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 6.3% | 15.79 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 6.2% | 16.09 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | PASSING FASHION | 4.8% | 20.94 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 4.4% | 22.85 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | A A AGILITY | 3.7% | 27.03 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 3.6% | 27.82 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 1.5% | 65.39 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 79.5
PLACE
2 24
8 17
10 21
QUINELLA
8,10 179.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 53.5
2,10 87
8,10 64.5
FORECAST
10,8 491
TIERCE
10,8,2 2,186
TRIO
2,8,10 323
FIRST 4
2,3,8,10 1,143
QUARTET
10,8,2,3 25,724
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A1 —
A3 —