Happy Valley · 2022-05-11 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on YIELDING going. ISLAND SHINE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with WINS ALL second and SHADOW RUNNER third. The 2.9 favourite BINGO BINGO finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ISLAND SHINE B 1.11.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | WINS ALL TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SHADOW RUNNER TT L Ferraris · P O'Sullivan | L Ferraris | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 6.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | BINGO BINGO B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 2.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | E RAINBOW B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SPICY GRILL B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY GATHERING B- J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 7 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | MULTIMORE TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 12 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/H/XB L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 3 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 10.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE B1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 10 | 101.0 | 9-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BINGO BINGO | 33.5% | 2.99 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | MULTIMORE | 11.1% | 8.98 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 9.0% | 11.07 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY GATHERING | 8.4% | 11.89 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | SPICY GRILL | 7.3% | 13.77 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | SHADOW RUNNER | 6.1% | 16.45 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | E RAINBOW | 5.8% | 17.33 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 5.6% | 17.82 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 4.8% | 20.82 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | WINS ALL | 4.4% | 22.96 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | ISLAND SHINE | 3.7% | 27.22 | 1 |
| 12 | 8 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE | 0.4% | 242.45 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 177.5
PLACE
6 20
10 45
12 53
QUINELLA
10,12 2,079.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 134
6,12 219
10,12 452
FORECAST
10,12 4,309
TIERCE
10,12,6 28,080
TRIO
6,10,12 4,263
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 18,125
QUARTET
10,12,6,3 468,816
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 32.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/10 505.5
10/12 109.5