Happy Valley · 2022-05-11 · 19:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on YIELDING going. KYRUS UNICORN, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with BLISSFUL STAR second and BIG TWO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite BIG TWO finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly V 1.42.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 7.6 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 2 | 6.2 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | BIG TWO H/SR/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 1 | 1.9 | N |
| 4 | 7 | RED IMPACT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 3 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CHARIZARD B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 7 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | GO FOR TEA Closed strongly A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 5 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly L Currie · K W Lui | L Currie | K W Lui | 4 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | METHANE Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | FAST PACE Led early H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 8 | 102.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 11 | GREAT TREASURE H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BIG TWO | 37.8% | 2.65 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | FAST PACE | 17.0% | 5.90 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | BLISSFUL STAR | 14.5% | 6.91 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | RED IMPACT | 13.5% | 7.42 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.7% | 21.36 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | NOBLE STEED | 4.0% | 24.86 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | GO FOR TEA | 3.1% | 31.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | METHANE | 3.0% | 33.23 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | CHARIZARD | 2.1% | 48.73 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 0.4% | 241.33 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 76
PLACE
2 21.5
3 10.5
8 17.5
QUINELLA
2,8 226
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 29
2,8 58.5
3,8 27
FORECAST
2,8 391
TIERCE
2,8,3 1,061
TRIO
2,3,8 98
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 140
QUARTET
2,8,3,7 5,452
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/2 500.5
10/8 56
3 PICK 1
A3 39.5
A2 —
A1 —