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Happy Valley · 2022-05-11 · 19:15

Race 2

Class 4 YIELDING 1650m Course A 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.42.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly V 1.42.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D J Hall 10 7.6 SH
2 0 BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly CP-/V1/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 2 6.2 SH
3 0 BIG TWO H/SR/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte 1 1.9 N
4 0 RED IMPACT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 3 9.7 3-1/4
5 0 CHARIZARD B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard 7 10.0 4
6 0 GO FOR TEA Closed strongly A Hamelin · F C Lor 5 26.0 4-3/4
7 0 NOBLE STEED Closed strongly L Currie · K W Lui 4 25.0 5-1/4
8 0 METHANE Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 9 27.0 6-3/4
9 0 FAST PACE Led early H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 6 11.0 7-3/4
10 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS H H W Lai · L Ho 8 102.0 10-1/2
— 0 GREAT TREASURE H T Mo · Y S Tsui — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on YIELDING going. KYRUS UNICORN, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with BLISSFUL STAR second and BIG TWO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite BIG TWO finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KYRUS UNICORN—2. BLISSFUL STAR+0.1L3. BIG TWO+0.05L4. RED IMPACT+3.25L5. CHARIZARD+4L6. GO FOR TEA+4.75L7. NOBLE STEED+5.25L8. METHANE+6.75L9. FAST PACE+7.75L10. UNITED ENDEAVORS+10.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick BIG TWO (37.8%) finished 3rd — the winner KYRUS UNICORN was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BIG TWO 37.8% 2.65 3
2 0 FAST PACE 17.0% 5.90 9
3 0 BLISSFUL STAR 14.5% 6.91 2
4 0 RED IMPACT 13.5% 7.42 4
5 0 KYRUS UNICORN 4.7% 21.36 1
6 0 NOBLE STEED 4.0% 24.86 7
7 0 GO FOR TEA 3.1% 31.81 6
8 0 METHANE 3.0% 33.23 8
9 0 CHARIZARD 2.1% 48.73 5
10 0 UNITED ENDEAVORS 0.4% 241.33 10
BIG TWOFAST PACEBLISSFUL STARRED IMPACTKYRUS UNICORN — wonNOBLE STEEDGO FOR TEAMETHANECHARIZARDUNITED ENDEAVORS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 76

PLACE

2 21.5

3 10.5

8 17.5

QUINELLA

2,8 226

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 29

2,8 58.5

3,8 27

FORECAST

2,8 391

TIERCE

2,8,3 1,061

TRIO

2,3,8 98

FIRST 4

2,3,7,8 140

QUARTET

2,8,3,7 5,452

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/2 500.5

10/8 56

3 PICK 1

A3 39.5

A2 —

A1 —