Happy Valley · 2022-05-11 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly 1.51.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES Closed strongly SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 2.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 9 | 39.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN Led early B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 1 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DR WINNING Closed strongly TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DARCI JOY B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 8 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 10 | 78.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 6.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 38.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 8.4 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-05-11 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on YIELDING going. TIANCHI MONSTER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 2, with GAMEPLAYER TIMES second and NEARLY FINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite NEARLY FINE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 29.1% | 3.44 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | SAVVY KINGMAN | 17.2% | 5.81 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 10.0% | 10.00 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER TIMES | 8.3% | 12.02 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE | 8.1% | 12.38 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 6.5% | 15.32 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | DR WINNING | 6.0% | 16.70 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 4.6% | 21.93 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 3.4% | 29.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 3.1% | 32.74 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SURREALISM | 2.1% | 48.77 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | VINCY | 1.7% | 59.52 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 199
PLACE
2 53
6 14.5
7 24
QUINELLA
2,7 1,002
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 147
2,7 263
6,7 44
FORECAST
2,7 1,918
TIERCE
2,7,6 7,496
TRIO
2,6,7 835
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 4,717
QUARTET
2,7,6,11 145,758
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,12/2,6,7 523,478
3 PICK 1
A3 29.5
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/2 2,494.5
10/7 232.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,10,12/Any Combination/Any Combination 195