沙田 · 2022-06-12 · 15:36
第 7場
2022-06-12沙田第7場,Class 2,途程1200米,跑道評為WET FAST。由M F Poon策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CAMPIONE勝出,贏出1-1/4。KA YING MASTER獲得亞軍;SILVER FIG獲得季軍。頭馬以3.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CAMPIONE TT 1.07.92 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | KA YING MASTER TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SILVER FIG B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 5 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN P1/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 48.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | ROCK YA HEART TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 8.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | CZARSON CP/TT C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | RED DESERT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 4.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 9 | 55.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MCLUCKY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ROCK YA HEART | 20.9% | 4.78 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | RED DESERT | 12.7% | 7.88 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | CAMPIONE | 11.6% | 8.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 10.8% | 9.24 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | MCLUCKY | 10.8% | 9.26 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | KA YING MASTER | 10.5% | 9.53 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH | 6.2% | 16.02 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | CZARSON | 5.1% | 19.45 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | GRATEFUL HEART | 4.6% | 21.98 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | SCORES OF FUN | 4.4% | 22.93 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | SILVER FIG | 2.3% | 42.79 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 39
PLACE
2 33.5
3 16.5
5 20.5
QUINELLA
3,5 98
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 92
2,5 110.5
3,5 40
FORECAST
3,5 178
TIERCE
3,5,2 915
TRIO
2,3,5 259
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 2,716
QUARTET
3,5,2,6 31,271
全部彩池(另 4 項)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
6TH DOUBLE
10/3 338.5
10/5 90
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,11/2,4,10/2,3,5 531,178
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,11/2,4,10/Any Combination 6,395