沙田 · 2022-06-12 · 14:01
第 4場
2022-06-12沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的SUPER AXIOM勝出，贏出2。AMAZING ROCKY獲得亞軍；FORTE獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門FORTE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT 0.55.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | AMAZING ROCKY H M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 10 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | FORTE XB/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 13 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 33.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | ADEFILL CP1/TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 42.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | AMAZING INNOVATOR TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 8.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 14 | 4.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 3 | 55.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HAPPY TRIO SR-/B1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | EL JEFE B/TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 2 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | TIMESTORM XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 1 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 9 | 142.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | MANY WINS B R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 180.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY H-/CP A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 11 | 23.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | EL JEFE | 25.7% | 3.90 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | FORTE | 16.7% | 6.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER AXIOM | 11.4% | 8.75 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | TIMESTORM | 8.7% | 11.56 | 11 |
| 5 | 8 | AMAZING INNOVATOR | 7.6% | 13.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | ADEFILL | 6.6% | 15.11 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | FLYING HIGH | 4.6% | 21.55 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY TRIO | 4.5% | 22.36 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | AMAZING ROCKY | 4.0% | 24.88 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | UNITED WE STAND | 3.3% | 29.86 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 2.8% | 36.17 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | GOOD BEAUTY | 2.3% | 42.86 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | DIAMOND SOARS | 1.0% | 96.99 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | MANY WINS | 0.8% | 133.28 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 81
PLACE
1 16.5
3 30.5
4 33
QUINELLA
3,4 405
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 85.5
1,4 93
3,4 156
FORECAST
3,4 947
TIERCE
3,4,1 4,787
TRIO
1,3,4 611
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 3,376
QUARTET
3,4,1,5 86,509
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 22
3RD DOUBLE
9/3 925
9/4 206.5