沙田 · 2022-06-12 · 17:48
第 11場
2022-06-12沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、T P Yung訓練的EXCELLENT DADDY勝出，贏出3/4。PRIVATE ROCKET獲得亞軍；POWER KOEPP獲得季軍。4.4倍大熱門BEAUTY MISSION跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT2 1.09.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 3 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | PRIVATE ROCKET B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | POWER KOEPP E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 6.2 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY MISSION CP A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | MERCURIAL H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 8 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | GLOBAL HARMONY CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 103.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | IMPERIAL MAGEE H1/TT1 R Maia · K H Ting | R Maia | K H Ting | 5 | 68.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | STORM LEGEND B1 L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 6 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | STAR BRITE CP/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 31.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | POWER KOEPP | 20.0% | 5.01 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | STAR BRITE | 16.1% | 6.20 | 11 |
| 3 | 3 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 13.0% | 7.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | BEAUTY MISSION | 10.0% | 10.04 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | GLOBAL HARMONY | 9.6% | 10.44 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | STORM LEGEND | 9.1% | 11.04 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 6.0% | 16.76 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | MERCURIAL | 5.2% | 19.22 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 4.3% | 23.43 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | TEAM SPIRIT | 2.8% | 35.40 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 2.6% | 39.00 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MAGIC SUPREME | 1.4% | 69.89 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 82
PLACE
3 20.5
5 25
6 24.5
QUINELLA
3,5 237
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 77
3,6 88.5
5,6 99.5
FORECAST
5,3 594
TIERCE
5,3,6 3,718
TRIO
3,5,6 538
FIRST 4
3,5,6,8 403
QUARTET
5,3,6,8 11,467
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
3/3 37.5
3/5 306
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,8/3,5,6 14,593
SIX UP
4,10/3,5/5,8/2,11/3,8/3,5 24,856
10/3/5/2/3/5 1,956,651
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
2/3/3 346
2/3/5 2,118