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Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 17:48

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EXCELLENT DADDY TT2 1.09.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · T P Yung 3 8.2 3/4
2 0 PRIVATE ROCKET B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 6.1 3/4
4 0 BEAUTY MISSION CP A Badel · F C Lor 4 4.4 1
5 0 MERCURIAL H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 8 14.0 1-1/2
6 0 GLOBAL HARMONY CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes 7 4.7 1-1/2
7 0 MAGIC SUPREME B/TT H W Lai · K L Man 12 103.0 1-1/2
8 0 IMPERIAL MAGEE H1/TT1 R Maia · K H Ting 5 68.0 2
9 0 STORM LEGEND B1 L Currie · C Fownes 10 11.0 2-1/2
10 0 TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So 6 18.0 3
11 0 STAR BRITE CP/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui 9 16.0 4-1/2
12 0 YOUNG LIFE FOREVER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 2 31.0 11-3/4
— 0 POWER KOEPP E J Moreira · J Size — 6.2 1

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EXCELLENT DADDY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by T P Yung, won by 3/4, with PRIVATE ROCKET second and BEAUTY MISSION third. The 4.4 favourite BEAUTY MISSION finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EXCELLENT DADDY—2. PRIVATE ROCKET+0.75L4. BEAUTY MISSION+1L5. MERCURIAL+1.5L6. GLOBAL HARMONY+1.5L7. MAGIC SUPREME+1.5L8. IMPERIAL MAGEE+2L9. STORM LEGEND+2.5L10. TEAM SPIRIT+3L11. STAR BRITE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 POWER KOEPP 20.0% 5.01 —
2 0 STAR BRITE 16.1% 6.20 11
3 0 PRIVATE ROCKET 13.0% 7.67 2
4 0 BEAUTY MISSION 10.0% 10.04 4
5 0 GLOBAL HARMONY 9.6% 10.44 6
6 0 STORM LEGEND 9.1% 11.04 9
7 0 EXCELLENT DADDY 6.0% 16.76 1
8 0 MERCURIAL 5.2% 19.22 5
9 0 IMPERIAL MAGEE 4.3% 23.43 8
10 0 TEAM SPIRIT 2.8% 35.40 10
11 0 YOUNG LIFE FOREVER 2.6% 39.00 12
12 0 MAGIC SUPREME 1.4% 69.89 7
POWER KOEPPSTAR BRITEPRIVATE ROCKETBEAUTY MISSIONGLOBAL HARMONYSTORM LEGENDEXCELLENT DADDY — wonMERCURIALIMPERIAL MAGEETEAM SPIRITYOUNG LIFE FOREVERMAGIC SUPREME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 82

PLACE

3 20.5

5 25

6 24.5

QUINELLA

3,5 237

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 77

3,6 88.5

5,6 99.5

FORECAST

5,3 594

TIERCE

5,3,6 3,718

TRIO

3,5,6 538

FIRST 4

3,5,6,8 403

QUARTET

5,3,6,8 11,467

All pools (5 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/3 37.5

3/5 306

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 24

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,8/3,5,6 14,593

SIX UP

4,10/3,5/5,8/2,11/3,8/3,5 24,856

10/3/5/2/3/5 1,956,651

1 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

2/3/3 346

2/3/5 2,118