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Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 12:31

Race 1

Griffin GOOD 1000m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Griffin over 1000m, run on GOOD going. DASHING TRIUMPH, ridden by H T Mo and trained by L Ho, won by N, with LUCKY BANNER second and HAPPY WON third. The 2.5 favourite LUCKY BANNER finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0.56.22
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 DASHING TRIUMPH TT1 0.56.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · L Ho 5 28.0 N
2 5 LUCKY BANNER TT J Moreira · C Fownes 8 2.5 N
3 3 HAPPY WON V1 Z Purton · F C Lor 9 10.0 1-1/4
4 2 FOREVER FRIENDS H1/P1 M Chadwick · C Fownes 4 7.2 1-3/4
5 9 INSPIRING CITY C Y Ho · D A Hayes 3 5.5 2-1/4
6 7 SUPERB MOVE R Maia · C H Yip 6 34.0 4-1/4
7 4 JOYFUL CHAMPION B K C Leung · C W Chang 10 9.6 4-1/4
8 6 OUR PRECIOUS TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 7 7.4 4-1/4
9 10 LEAN HERO CP1 L Currie · D A Hayes 1 11.0 6-1/4
10 1 FLYING SILVER CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum 2 60.0 7-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DASHING TRIUMPH2. LUCKY BANNER+0.05L3. HAPPY WON+1.25L4. FOREVER FRIENDS+1.75L5. INSPIRING CITY+2.25L6. SUPERB MOVE+4.25L7. JOYFUL CHAMPION+4.25L8. OUR PRECIOUS+4.25L9. LEAN HERO+6.25L10. FLYING SILVER+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LUCKY BANNER (26.3%) finished 2nd — the winner DASHING TRIUMPH was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 LUCKY BANNER 26.3% 3.80 2
2 3 HAPPY WON 25.6% 3.90 3
3 6 OUR PRECIOUS 9.7% 10.27 8
4 2 FOREVER FRIENDS 8.5% 11.70 4
5 10 LEAN HERO 6.6% 15.19 9
6 9 INSPIRING CITY 5.8% 17.25 5
7 8 DASHING TRIUMPH 5.7% 17.64 1
8 4 JOYFUL CHAMPION 5.4% 18.54 7
9 7 SUPERB MOVE 4.2% 23.90 6
10 1 FLYING SILVER 2.1% 46.68 10
LUCKY BANNERHAPPY WONOUR PRECIOUSFOREVER FRIENDSLEAN HEROINSPIRING CITYDASHING TRIUMPH — wonJOYFUL CHAMPIONSUPERB MOVEFLYING SILVER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 283.5

PLACE

3 24

5 14.5

8 62.5

QUINELLA

5,8 359

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 54.5

3,8 350

5,8 113

FORECAST

8,5 720

TIERCE

8,5,3 7,756

TRIO

3,5,8 921

FIRST 4

2,3,5,8 1,316

QUARTET

8,5,3,2 30,529

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 23

A2

A1