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Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 16:38

Race 9

Class 3 WET FAST 1200m 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET FAST going. SUNNY BOY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with HELENE WISDOM STAR second and CALL ME TEDDY third. The 3.9 favourite EVERYONE'S VICTORY finished 12th.

Result

Official · 1.08.08
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 SUNNY BOY B/TT 1.08.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W Y So 1 8.2 3/4
2 11 HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 48.0 3/4
3 9 CALL ME TEDDY TT C Y Ho · C W Chang 9 8.2 2
4 1 LUCKY FUN M F Poon · L Ho 4 16.0 2-1/4
5 12 JOLLY RULER H-/TT- L Hewitson · P F Yiu 12 38.0 2-1/2
6 8 JAZZ ANGEL L Currie · C Fownes 3 12.0 3-1/2
7 10 FLYING DRAGON Z Purton · C H Yip 2 4.5 3-1/2
8 6 MR VALIANT H/XB A Badel · A T Millard 5 10.0 5
9 3 LIGHTNING BOLT M Chadwick · C S Shum 10 5.7 5-1/4
10 7 DIAMOND BRILLIANT TT H Bentley · T P Yung 11 75.0 6-3/4
11 4 MAN STAR V K C Leung · K H Ting 8 33.0 10
12 5 EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT J Moreira · F C Lor 7 3.9 12-1/2
0 TRADER · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUNNY BOY2. HELENE WISDOM STAR+0.75L3. CALL ME TEDDY+2L4. LUCKY FUN+2.25L5. JOLLY RULER+2.5L6. JAZZ ANGEL+3.5L7. FLYING DRAGON+3.5L8. MR VALIANT+5L9. LIGHTNING BOLT+5.25L10. DIAMOND BRILLIANT+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick LIGHTNING BOLT (26.0%) finished 9th — the winner SUNNY BOY was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 LIGHTNING BOLT 26.0% 3.84 9
2 5 EVERYONE'S VICTORY 19.1% 5.25 12
3 10 FLYING DRAGON 19.0% 5.25 7
4 1 LUCKY FUN 9.4% 10.64 4
5 8 JAZZ ANGEL 5.5% 18.10 6
6 9 CALL ME TEDDY 5.2% 19.20 3
7 2 SUNNY BOY 5.1% 19.64 1
8 6 MR VALIANT 3.3% 30.14 8
9 4 MAN STAR 2.4% 41.28 11
10 12 JOLLY RULER 1.7% 58.70 5
11 11 HELENE WISDOM STAR 1.7% 59.17 2
12 7 DIAMOND BRILLIANT 1.5% 66.01 10
LIGHTNING BOLTEVERYONE'S VICTORYFLYING DRAGONLUCKY FUNJAZZ ANGELCALL ME TEDDYSUNNY BOY — wonMR VALIANTMAN STARJOLLY RULERHELENE WISDOM STARDIAMOND BRILLIANT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 82.5

PLACE

2 24

9 25.5

11 125.5

QUINELLA

2,11 2,741

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 101.5

2,11 649

9,11 549

FORECAST

2,11 2,776

TIERCE

2,11,9 36,368

TRIO

2,9,11 6,241

FIRST 4

1,2,9,11 15,735

QUARTET

2,11,9,1 349,089

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 26.5

A2

A3

8TH DOUBLE

5/2 729

5/11 611