Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 16:06
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Closed strongly B 1.35.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE Led early H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 1.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE Closed strongly B L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 3 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 36.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 9 | 14.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ALL FOR ST PAUL'S, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with BOURBONAIRE second and GALAXY WITNESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.4 favourite GALAXY WITNESS finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS | 56.6% | 1.77 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 9.7% | 10.30 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | BOURBONAIRE | 8.2% | 12.22 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 6.0% | 16.61 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 5.9% | 17.06 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 5.0% | 19.97 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARITY GRACE | 3.5% | 28.24 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 2.6% | 38.56 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 2.4% | 41.14 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 113
PLACE
5 25
6 10.5
8 16.5
QUINELLA
5,8 326
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 30.5
5,8 73.5
6,8 20.5
FORECAST
5,8 783
TIERCE
5,8,6 1,676
TRIO
5,6,8 98
FIRST 4
3,5,6,8 121
QUARTET
5,8,6,3 6,782
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/5,6,8 4,766
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 34.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
3/5 385.5
3/8 47.5