Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 14:31
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEATHER VANGUARD Closed strongly 1.22.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP- C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 10 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL IS GOOD Closed strongly L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 8 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.7 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | DAZZLING FELLOW Closed strongly TT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 12 | 46.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD NEWS V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART FOLKS Led early B V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 13 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 14 | 8.6 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 177.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 61.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | JACK WIN B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 87.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | COMMON ROOM CP-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 113.0 | 15-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LEATHER VANGUARD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with STUNNING IMPACT second and LIFELINE VISION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 25.4% | 3.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | STUNNING IMPACT | 20.4% | 4.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW | 13.1% | 7.62 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 7.9% | 12.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 5.6% | 17.91 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD NEWS | 5.3% | 18.71 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL IS GOOD | 4.6% | 21.70 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 4.3% | 23.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.9% | 25.44 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 3.0% | 33.60 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 2.9% | 34.23 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | JACK WIN | 2.1% | 46.66 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | COMMON ROOM | 0.9% | 106.55 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 0.4% | 278.77 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 37.5
PLACE
3 17
4 46
11 17.5
QUINELLA
3,11 105
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 132
3,11 39
4,11 139
FORECAST
3,11 178
TIERCE
3,11,4 1,993
TRIO
3,4,11 522
FIRST 4
3,4,6,11 1,966
QUARTET
3,11,4,6 24,800
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/3,4,11 20,243
3 PICK 1
A1 25
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/3 400.5
3/11 74.5