Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 17:13
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KEEFY Closed strongly 1.22.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 14 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | DECRYPT Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 1 | 7.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER WINNER Led early TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 5 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE HULK Closed strongly R Maia · C Fownes | R Maia | C Fownes | 10 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 134.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HIGH CLOUD XB/SR1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 11 | 77.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | MASTER HERO XB/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 18.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 236.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MOONLIGHT VISTA L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 3 | 180.0 | 18-1/4 |
| — | 0 | KASA PAPA CP1 K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | — | 22.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KEEFY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with ESCAPE ROUTE second and DECRYPT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KEEFY | 25.2% | 3.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN | 19.0% | 5.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 11.8% | 8.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 9.8% | 10.23 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 6.8% | 14.75 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 6.5% | 15.29 | — |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 5.8% | 17.39 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | DECRYPT | 5.0% | 19.86 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | THE HULK | 3.0% | 32.94 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 2.6% | 38.51 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HIGH CLOUD | 2.1% | 47.15 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 1.0% | 100.15 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 0.9% | 109.06 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.4% | 240.04 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 31.5
PLACE
3 14.5
5 24.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
3,8 112.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 59
3,8 40.5
5,8 85.5
FORECAST
3,8 168
TIERCE
3,8,5 988
TRIO
3,5,8 255
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 210
QUARTET
3,8,5,1 3,703
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20.5
9TH DOUBLE
2/3 312
2/8 48