Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 13:01
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. STAR OF GLORY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-3/4, with DIAMOND STAR second and GO GO SIXTEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite FLYING MIGHTY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly P-/B2 1.35.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 12 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 8.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 6 | 8.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 14 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 4.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR V1 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 9.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | ASIAN ONE B-/XB1/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 3 | 6.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | A A AGILITY B/TT L Hewitson · L Ho | L Hewitson | L Ho | 4 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | JOY MASTER B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 5 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | LITTLE PLAYER B- L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 1 | 8.2 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly B/TT- K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 61.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | MULTIPLE STAR H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 11 | 20.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | SHINY TWO Led early V-/B1/XB1/TT- M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 21-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | MR ALDAN B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 13 | 17.0 | 21-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING MIGHTY | 20.9% | 4.77 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | DIAMOND STAR | 15.2% | 6.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 12.6% | 7.97 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | LITTLE PLAYER | 9.7% | 10.33 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | ASIAN ONE | 8.9% | 11.22 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | EL VALIENTE | 8.5% | 11.71 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | STAR OF GLORY | 4.2% | 23.74 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | SHINY TWO | 3.7% | 26.76 | 13 |
| 9 | 14 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 3.7% | 26.78 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | JOY MASTER | 3.4% | 29.61 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | MR ALDAN | 2.6% | 37.74 | 14 |
| 12 | 13 | MULTIPLE STAR | 2.4% | 42.18 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | A A AGILITY | 2.3% | 44.24 | 8 |
| 14 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE | 1.9% | 53.31 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 189
PLACE
3 35
8 24
9 54
QUINELLA
8,9 701
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 131
3,9 281.5
8,9 242.5
FORECAST
9,8 2,081
TIERCE
9,8,3 13,543
TRIO
3,8,9 2,131
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 8,201
QUARTET
9,8,3,4 200,547
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/8 276.5
8/9 4,191.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 17