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Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 13:01

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly P-/B2 1.35.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C W Chang 12 18.0 1-3/4
2 0 DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT J Moreira · J Size 10 8.8 1-3/4
3 0 GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui 6 8.2 2-1/2
4 0 EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 14 15.0 3
5 0 FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D J Hall 7 4.6 3-3/4
6 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR V1 M F Poon · C H Yip 2 9.9 4-1/2
7 0 ASIAN ONE B-/XB1/TT R Maia · A T Millard 3 6.5 5-1/4
8 0 A A AGILITY B/TT L Hewitson · L Ho 4 40.0 5-1/2
9 0 JOY MASTER B/TT K H Chan · W Y So 5 20.0 5-1/2
10 0 LITTLE PLAYER B- L Currie · D A Hayes 1 8.2 12
11 0 MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly B/TT- K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 8 61.0 13
12 0 MULTIPLE STAR H Bentley · T P Yung 11 20.0 14-1/4
13 0 SHINY TWO Led early V-/B1/XB1/TT- M Chadwick · P F Yiu 9 13.0 21-3/4
14 0 MR ALDAN B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 13 17.0 21-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. STAR OF GLORY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-3/4, with DIAMOND STAR second and GO GO SIXTEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite FLYING MIGHTY finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STAR OF GLORY—2. DIAMOND STAR+1.75L3. GO GO SIXTEEN+2.5L4. EL VALIENTE+3L5. FLYING MIGHTY+3.75L6. GORGEOUS INHERITOR+4.5L7. ASIAN ONE+5.25L8. A A AGILITY+5.5L9. JOY MASTER+5.5L10. LITTLE PLAYER+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick FLYING MIGHTY (20.9%) finished 5th — the winner STAR OF GLORY was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FLYING MIGHTY 20.9% 4.77 5
2 0 DIAMOND STAR 15.2% 6.60 2
3 0 GO GO SIXTEEN 12.6% 7.97 3
4 0 LITTLE PLAYER 9.7% 10.33 10
5 0 ASIAN ONE 8.9% 11.22 7
6 0 EL VALIENTE 8.5% 11.71 4
7 0 STAR OF GLORY 4.2% 23.74 1
8 0 SHINY TWO 3.7% 26.76 13
9 0 GORGEOUS INHERITOR 3.7% 26.78 6
10 0 JOY MASTER 3.4% 29.61 9
11 0 MR ALDAN 2.6% 37.74 14
12 0 MULTIPLE STAR 2.4% 42.18 12
13 0 A A AGILITY 2.3% 44.24 8
14 0 MEDIC ELITE 1.9% 53.31 11
FLYING MIGHTYDIAMOND STARGO GO SIXTEENLITTLE PLAYERASIAN ONEEL VALIENTESTAR OF GLORY — wonSHINY TWOGORGEOUS INHERITORJOY MASTERMR ALDANMULTIPLE STARA A AGILITYMEDIC ELITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 189

PLACE

3 35

8 24

9 54

QUINELLA

8,9 701

QUINELLA PLACE

3,8 131

3,9 281.5

8,9 242.5

FORECAST

9,8 2,081

TIERCE

9,8,3 13,543

TRIO

3,8,9 2,131

FIRST 4

3,4,8,9 8,201

QUARTET

9,8,3,4 200,547

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/8 276.5

8/9 4,191.5

3 PICK 1

A3 17

A1 —

A2 —