Sha Tin · 2022-06-12 · 13:31
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-06-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SWEET DIAMOND, ridden by A Badel and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with SPARTAN MISSILE second and DRAGON KINGDOM third. The 2.3 favourite BUNDLE OF CHARM finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SWEET DIAMOND TT1 1.09.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 3 | 9.8 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | SPARTAN MISSILE SR- L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 9 | 20.0 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | DRAGON KINGDOM K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 1 | 5.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 2.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GLENEALY GENERALS B- H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 53.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART LEADER B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | ONE FOR ALL TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 2 | 48.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SNOWALOT B1 L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | MIRACLE VICTORY TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 8 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 11.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | GOLD GOLD BABY B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 99.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | BIG HAPPINESS H/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 135.0 | 40-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 32.7% | 3.06 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 21.6% | 4.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | SWEET DIAMOND | 9.6% | 10.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | MIRACLE VICTORY | 7.8% | 12.79 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | WAR OF COURAGE | 7.1% | 14.03 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART LEADER | 6.2% | 16.21 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | SPARTAN MISSILE | 4.9% | 20.47 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | SNOWALOT | 3.7% | 27.21 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 2.8% | 35.94 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 2.2% | 45.95 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | BIG HAPPINESS | 0.9% | 115.22 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | ONE FOR ALL | 0.7% | 153.32 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 98.5
PLACE
8 47.5
9 28
12 18.5
QUINELLA
8,9 508.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 189
8,12 132.5
9,12 85.5
FORECAST
9,8 1,325
TIERCE
9,8,12 7,586
TRIO
8,9,12 1,085
FIRST 4
2,8,9,12 490
QUARTET
9,8,12,2 18,839
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/8 583.5
9/9 2,272
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27
A3 —