沙田 · 2022-06-12 · 14:31
第 5場
2022-06-12沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的LEATHER VANGUARD勝出，贏出N。STUNNING IMPACT獲得亞軍；LIFELINE VISION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LEATHER VANGUARD 後段發力 1.22.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 2 | 3.7 | N |
| 2 | 11 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B J Moreira · P O'Sullivan | J Moreira | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 4 | LIFELINE VISION 後段發力 CP- C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 10 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | ALL IS GOOD 後段發力 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 8 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | AMIGOS GIGGLE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.7 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | DAZZLING FELLOW 後段發力 TT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 12 | 46.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GOOD NEWS V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | SMART FOLKS 早段領放 B V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 13 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 14 | 8.6 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT 後段發力 B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 177.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BEAUTY NOVA B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 61.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | JACK WIN B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 87.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | COMMON ROOM CP-/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 113.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 25.4% | 3.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | STUNNING IMPACT | 20.4% | 4.90 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | DOUBLE SHOW | 13.1% | 7.62 | 6 |
| 4 | 13 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 7.9% | 12.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | SMART FOLKS | 5.6% | 17.91 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD NEWS | 5.3% | 18.71 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | ALL IS GOOD | 4.6% | 21.70 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 4.3% | 23.03 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | LIFELINE VISION | 3.9% | 25.44 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | BEAUTY NOVA | 3.0% | 33.60 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 2.9% | 34.23 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | JACK WIN | 2.1% | 46.66 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | COMMON ROOM | 0.9% | 106.55 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 0.4% | 278.77 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 37.5
PLACE
3 17
4 46
11 17.5
QUINELLA
3,11 105
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 132
3,11 39
4,11 139
FORECAST
3,11 178
TIERCE
3,11,4 1,993
TRIO
3,4,11 522
FIRST 4
3,4,6,11 1,966
QUARTET
3,11,4,6 24,800
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/3,4,11 20,243
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 25
4TH DOUBLE
3/3 400.5
3/11 74.5