跑馬地 · 2022-06-28 · 20:46
第 4場
2022-06-28跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的DRAGON KINGDOM勝出，贏出1。DURHAM STAR獲得亞軍；SURE JOYFUL獲得季軍。頭馬以4.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DRAGON KINGDOM 1.10.01 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 4.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | DURHAM STAR B/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL P K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SMART LEADER B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 8.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | SPARKY STAR B J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 11 | 7.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | HARRIER JET B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | YOUTHFUL DEAL Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | REGENCY STAR CP H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HANDSOME VEGGIE M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | TAILOR MADE TT R Maia · C Fownes | R Maia | C Fownes | 8 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER CLASS B-/XB1 C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 9 | 42.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | OVERSUBSCRIBED A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | INNO LEGEND J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 30.7% | 3.25 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | SPARKY STAR | 13.8% | 7.22 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 12.2% | 8.23 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SMART LEADER | 9.8% | 10.20 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | DURHAM STAR | 9.5% | 10.50 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | SURE JOYFUL | 7.3% | 13.79 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | HARRIER JET | 5.5% | 18.29 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | TAILOR MADE | 3.6% | 27.47 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 2.6% | 38.38 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | REGENCY STAR | 2.2% | 44.88 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 1.4% | 70.15 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER CLASS | 1.3% | 76.31 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 47.5
PLACE
5 29
6 19
8 17.5
QUINELLA
5,8 194
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 78.5
5,8 63
6,8 41.5
FORECAST
8,5 334
TIERCE
8,5,6 1,165
TRIO
5,6,8 195
FIRST 4
5,6,8,9 744
QUARTET
8,5,6,9 14,240
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,10/5,6,8 2,281
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 26.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/5 57.5
4/8 209