跑馬地 · 2022-06-28 · 22:53
第 8場
2022-06-28跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的EQUALETTA BLITZ勝出，贏出2-1/2。SUPER AXIOM獲得亞軍；SPECIAL M獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門GORGEOUS VITALITY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H 0.56.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SPECIAL M B/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 7.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | GORGEOUS VITALITY Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 1.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PARTY WARRIOR CP/H K H Chan · K W Lui | K H Chan | K W Lui | 7 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED BO/XB/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 3 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON B A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 11 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SMOKEY BEAR H/XB/TT1 M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 8 | 95.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | RESOLUTE B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 9 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | MODEST GENTLEMAN TT1 M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 63.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 31.6% | 3.16 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER AXIOM | 12.9% | 7.75 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | WINE AND WINE | 10.1% | 9.92 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | SPECIAL M | 9.1% | 10.95 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | PARTY WARRIOR | 8.7% | 11.54 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN | 7.0% | 14.26 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 6.9% | 14.46 | 1 |
| 8 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 6.6% | 15.24 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | PROUD DRAGON | 2.8% | 36.09 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | RESOLUTE | 2.2% | 45.99 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | SMOKEY BEAR | 1.1% | 90.33 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 1.0% | 96.22 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 160.5
PLACE
3 20
5 36
11 28
QUINELLA
5,11 659
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 138.5
3,11 96
5,11 170
FORECAST
5,11 1,654
TIERCE
5,11,3 12,931
TRIO
3,5,11 1,467
FIRST 4
3,5,6,11 436
QUARTET
5,11,3,6 21,168
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 40
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,7/3,5,11 39,056
7TH DOUBLE
5/5 896.5
5/11 69
SIX UP
4/8/5/3/5/5 1,118,500
4,10/5,8/1,5/3,11/5,7/5,11 7,901
3 [L Hewitson] —
TREBLE
3/5/5 5,882
3/5/11 788