跑馬地 · 2022-09-14 · 20:46
第 4場
2022-09-14跑馬地第4場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的GOLD GOLD BABY勝出，贏出2-3/4。RAGING BLAZE獲得亞軍；CARRY THE DIAMOND獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門WINS ALL跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT 0.57.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 6.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 9.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS H1/TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 12 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | THIS IS GUTS H/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPER CLASS XB/B2 S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 2 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | WINS ALL TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 2.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | SHANGHAI POWER B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 7.9 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | HANDSOME VEGGIE H1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 8 | 21.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE B/XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 5 | 56.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE | 25.2% | 3.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | WINS ALL | 16.9% | 5.91 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 9.9% | 10.15 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | GOODMANSHIP | 9.2% | 10.82 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 8.7% | 11.47 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | DAY DAY RICH | 8.2% | 12.19 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | SHANGHAI POWER | 6.6% | 15.07 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 4.8% | 20.70 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER CLASS | 3.7% | 26.86 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | THIS IS GUTS | 2.5% | 39.50 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE | 2.1% | 46.82 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | DIAMOND SOARS | 2.0% | 49.35 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 67
PLACE
7 23.5
8 36.5
12 29
QUINELLA
7,12 363.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 146.5
7,12 113.5
8,12 214.5
FORECAST
7,12 642
TIERCE
7,12,8 6,297
TRIO
7,8,12 1,675
FIRST 4
6,7,8,12 8,684
QUARTET
7,12,8,6 139,990
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/7,8,12 21,977
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 23.5
3RD DOUBLE
2/7 446
2/12 108