跑馬地 · 2022-09-14 · 22:53
第 8場
2022-09-14跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY GLORY勝出，贏出1-1/4。IGNITING獲得亞軍；FIVE ELEMENTS獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT 1.09.63 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | IGNITING B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 10 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | FIVE ELEMENTS B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 2 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | XPONENTIAL B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | STOICISM B/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 12 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | NICCONI COUNTY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | SKY FOREVER B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 7.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 7 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER BABY V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 6 | 41.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES B1/TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 11 | 51.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 13.0 | 26-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY GLORY | 22.9% | 4.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 18.8% | 5.32 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | FIVE ELEMENTS | 13.5% | 7.43 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | NICCONI COUNTY | 10.5% | 9.54 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY | 7.2% | 13.91 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | SKY FOREVER | 5.8% | 17.35 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | STOICISM | 4.8% | 20.76 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | WINE AND WINE | 4.4% | 22.80 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | IGNITING | 4.1% | 24.33 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | XPONENTIAL | 4.0% | 24.80 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER BABY | 2.1% | 48.10 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES | 2.0% | 51.18 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 33
PLACE
3 34.5
4 44.5
5 15
QUINELLA
4,5 317
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 337
3,5 81.5
4,5 121
FORECAST
5,4 491
TIERCE
5,4,3 4,693
TRIO
3,4,5 1,027
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 4,957
QUARTET
5,4,3,9 67,730
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,11/3,4,5 117,265
7TH DOUBLE
11/4 191.5
11/5 188.5
SIX UP
2/7/11/12/11/5 5,705,686
2,9/7,12/4,11/11,12/10,11/4,5 7,737
2 [C Fownes] —
12 [L Ferraris] —
TREBLE
12/11/4 1,223
12/11/5 1,207