跑馬地 · 2022-09-14 · 21:16
第 5場
2022-09-14跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的OUR CLASS ACT勝出，贏出1。HARDLY SWEARS獲得亞軍；SHINING FORTUNE獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門HARDLY SWEARS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | OUR CLASS ACT H 1.10.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 43.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS CP1 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 2.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | SHINING FORTUNE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 10 | 62.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | KOKUSHI MUSOU H/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | NOIR RIDER B H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 4 | 23.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HARMONY N HOME | 16.7% | 6.00 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | HARDLY SWEARS | 16.1% | 6.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 15.4% | 6.49 | 10 |
| 4 | 5 | SHINING FORTUNE | 11.8% | 8.46 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 11.1% | 8.99 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 9.4% | 10.69 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 7.0% | 14.31 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | SIGHT HERO | 4.7% | 21.12 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | OUR CLASS ACT | 4.7% | 21.20 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | NOIR RIDER | 1.6% | 61.48 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | HAPPY SOUL | 1.5% | 68.23 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 433.5
PLACE
4 13
5 21.5
11 105
QUINELLA
4,11 752.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 36.5
4,11 233
5,11 542.5
FORECAST
11,4 1,771
TIERCE
11,4,5 16,587
TRIO
4,5,11 1,480
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 1,150
QUARTET
11,4,5,3 45,523
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 38.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
7/4 28.5
7/11 1,749.5