沙田 · 2022-10-23 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-10-23沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、K W Lui訓練的SUPERB BOY勝出，贏出1/2。FLYING DRAGON獲得亞軍；METRO WARRIOR獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門FLYING DRAGON跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPERB BOY 0.56.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING DRAGON K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 3.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 3 | 9.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | CIRCUIT TEN TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | STAR ASCENSION XB1 L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 9 | 42.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | COMING PATCH H-/V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 47.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | SUMMIT CHEERS CP1/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 4.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | FLAMING PASSION TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | PING HAI BRAVO TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER VINCE XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SPARKLING KNIGHT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 15.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 2 | JOYFUL WIN L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| — | 3 | FLYING SEASON S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 20.4% | 4.91 | 7 |
| 2 | 12 | SUPERB BOY | 18.0% | 5.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | FLAMING PASSION | 10.1% | 9.87 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | PINS PRINCE | 8.3% | 12.10 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 7.8% | 12.78 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | PING HAI BRAVO | 7.8% | 12.79 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER VINCE | 6.9% | 14.48 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING DRAGON | 6.9% | 14.55 | 2 |
| 9 | 8 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 4.9% | 20.52 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | CIRCUIT TEN | 4.0% | 25.00 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | STAR ASCENSION | 3.4% | 29.35 | 5 |
| 12 | 14 | COMING PATCH | 1.6% | 63.47 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 61.5
PLACE
1 26
6 16
12 20
QUINELLA
6,12 142
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 53.5
1,12 91
6,12 60.5
FORECAST
12,6 337
TIERCE
12,6,1 2,480
TRIO
1,6,12 462
FIRST 4
1,6,11,12 1,500
QUARTET
12,6,1,11 23,631
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 31
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
3/6 67.5
3/12 810.5