沙田 · 2022-10-23 · 16:38
第 8場
2022-10-23沙田第8場，Group 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、R Gibson訓練的WELLINGTON勝出，贏出1。LUCKY SWEYNESSE獲得亞軍；SKY FIELD獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門LUCKY SWEYNESSE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WELLINGTON XB 1.07.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 7 | 9.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 1.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | SKY FIELD TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 4 | 42.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MASTER EIGHT TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | DUKE WAI B/H H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | CORDYCEPS SIX B L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 6 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | STRONGER SR/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 1 | 39.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | FANTASTIC TREASURE CP/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 5 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | COURIER WONDER H1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 56.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY PATCH H/V S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 10 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | COMPUTER PATCH CP/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 9 | 80.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 54.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 38.0% | 2.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | CORDYCEPS SIX | 13.2% | 7.58 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | WELLINGTON | 8.9% | 11.19 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 5.6% | 17.77 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | LUCKY PATCH | 5.4% | 18.39 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | COURIER WONDER | 5.2% | 19.24 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | DUKE WAI | 4.8% | 20.95 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | STRONGER | 4.5% | 22.28 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | MASTER EIGHT | 4.0% | 24.96 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | COMPUTER PATCH | 3.7% | 27.30 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 3.4% | 29.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 2 | SKY FIELD | 3.3% | 30.61 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 92.5
PLACE
1 19.5
2 67
8 12
QUINELLA
1,8 90.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 201
1,8 39
2,8 109
FORECAST
1,8 215
TIERCE
1,8,2 2,863
TRIO
1,2,8 527
FIRST 4
1,2,8,10 1,926
QUARTET
1,8,2,10 39,887
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 38.5
A2 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/1 212
8/8 11.5