沙田 · 2022-10-23 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-10-23沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由R Maia策騎、K W Lui訓練的THE IRISHMAN勝出，贏出3/4。GALAXY WITNESS獲得亞軍；BELUGA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門GALAXY WITNESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | THE IRISHMAN 後段發力 H/XB/TT 1.21.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 11 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | GALAXY WITNESS 後段發力 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | BELUGA 早段領放 H L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 6 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY 後段發力 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | EASON 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | PACKING VICTORY TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BEAUTY FIT 後段發力 B/E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SHINING GEM B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 10 | 120.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 13 | 4.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | SILVER EXPRESS B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 39.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | SAUVESTRE TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 5.7 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 26.8% | 3.73 | 11 |
| 2 | 13 | GALAXY WITNESS | 15.4% | 6.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SAUVESTRE | 11.2% | 8.94 | 13 |
| 4 | 1 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 7.9% | 12.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | THE IRISHMAN | 7.1% | 14.03 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 6.7% | 14.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | EASON | 5.5% | 18.03 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | PACKING VICTORY | 5.0% | 19.98 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | SHINING GEM | 3.9% | 25.51 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | BELUGA | 3.7% | 27.00 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | BEAUTY FIT | 3.1% | 31.89 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | SILVER EXPRESS | 2.1% | 47.66 | 12 |
| 13 | 8 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 1.5% | 67.66 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 113.5
PLACE
4 33
5 56
13 15
QUINELLA
4,13 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 344.5
4,13 66
5,13 143.5
FORECAST
4,13 665
TIERCE
4,13,5 8,456
TRIO
4,5,13 1,100
FIRST 4
1,4,5,13 1,704
QUARTET
4,13,5,1 45,402
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,14/4,5,13 525,067
9TH DOUBLE
2/4 7,616.5
2/13 746.5
SIX UP
6,12/1,2/5,8/1,8/2,14/4,13 20,868
12/1/8/1/2/4 3,339,160
7 [A Badel] —
3 [J Size] —
TREBLE
1/2/4 46,444
1/2/13 5,561