Sha Tin · 2022-10-23 · 17:48
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H/XB/TT 1.21.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 11 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BELUGA Led early H L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 6 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | EASON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING VICTORY TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT Closed strongly B/E A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 3 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SHINING GEM B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 10 | 120.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 13 | 4.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 7 | 39.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SAUVESTRE TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 5.7 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-23 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE IRISHMAN, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with GALAXY WITNESS second and BELUGA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite GALAXY WITNESS finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 26.8% | 3.73 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | GALAXY WITNESS | 15.4% | 6.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SAUVESTRE | 11.2% | 8.94 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 7.9% | 12.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 7.1% | 14.03 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 6.7% | 14.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | EASON | 5.5% | 18.03 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING VICTORY | 5.0% | 19.98 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 3.9% | 25.51 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | BELUGA | 3.7% | 27.00 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAUTY FIT | 3.1% | 31.89 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS | 2.1% | 47.66 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 1.5% | 67.66 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 113.5
PLACE
4 33
5 56
13 15
QUINELLA
4,13 183.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 344.5
4,13 66
5,13 143.5
FORECAST
4,13 665
TIERCE
4,13,5 8,456
TRIO
4,5,13 1,100
FIRST 4
1,4,5,13 1,704
QUARTET
4,13,5,1 45,402
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,14/4,5,13 525,067
9TH DOUBLE
2/4 7,616.5
2/13 746.5
SIX UP
6,12/1,2/5,8/1,8/2,14/4,13 20,868
12/1/8/1/2/4 3,339,160
7 [A Badel] —
3 [J Size] —
TREBLE
1/2/4 46,444
1/2/13 5,561