Sha Tin · 2022-10-23 · 14:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-23 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. UNTOLD RICHES, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with REGENCY BO BO second and SUPER SUNNY SING third. The 5.6 favourite DARING PURSUIT finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | UNTOLD RICHES H 1.08.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 8 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER SUNNY SING H K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 13 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | KING ECCELLENTE H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | GALLANT HERO TT A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 4 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SNOWALOT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSION CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 7.9 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | MACH TEN V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | AUGUST MOON BO-/B2/TT1 M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 7 | 12.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | DARING PURSUIT TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 5.6 | 17-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | GREAT FOR YOU H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 87.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 28.0 | 22-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | GLENEALY GENERALS B/XB R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 19.0 | 24-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY MISSION | 19.7% | 5.06 | 8 |
| 2 | 14 | UNITED WE STAND | 10.7% | 9.35 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 7.8% | 12.84 | 14 |
| 4 | 7 | DARING PURSUIT | 7.4% | 13.47 | 11 |
| 5 | 5 | AUGUST MOON | 7.1% | 14.09 | 10 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 6.8% | 14.80 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | SNOWALOT | 6.4% | 15.55 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | REGENCY BO BO | 6.4% | 15.71 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | GALLANT HERO | 6.3% | 15.76 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | KING ECCELLENTE | 5.1% | 19.79 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | UNTOLD RICHES | 4.4% | 22.49 | 1 |
| 12 | 6 | DUBLIN STAR | 4.1% | 24.55 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | MACH TEN | 4.0% | 24.91 | 9 |
| 14 | 10 | GREAT FOR YOU | 3.8% | 26.55 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 108
PLACE
2 37
3 45
4 30
QUINELLA
3,4 774
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 230.5
2,4 194.5
3,4 272
FORECAST
3,4 1,627
TIERCE
3,4,2 13,543
TRIO
2,3,4 2,576
FIRST 4
2,3,4,14 6,656
QUARTET
3,4,2,14 167,183
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,9/2,3,4 80,746
3 PICK 1
A3 15.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/3 276
2/4 68