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Sha Tin · 2022-10-23 · 14:01

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B+2 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.01
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 ONE VOICE Closed strongly TT 1.22.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor 11 2.8 N
3 0 MARADO Closed strongly B S De Sousa · P C Ng 2 12.0 1/2
4 0 CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 14 7.8 1-1/4
5 0 SUPER RED DRAGON B/TT Z Purton · W Y So 8 4.6 1-3/4
6 0 RED BRICK FIGHTER Closed strongly B K H Chan · D J Hall 1 37.0 1-3/4
7 0 SPLENDID LIVING Closed strongly TT2 M Chadwick · P F Yiu 5 8.0 3
8 0 WIN WIN Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung 10 31.0 3-3/4
9 0 MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · K W Lui 7 21.0 4-1/4
10 0 MAXIMIZE HEART B R Maia · C H Yip 12 27.0 4-1/4
11 0 SO YOU TRUST Closed strongly TT A Badel · J Size 9 27.0 6
12 0 ROYAL AGILITY B/TT L Currie · Y S Tsui 6 110.0 6-1/2
13 0 HAPPY FOREVER XB/TT H W Lai · K L Man 3 65.0 10-3/4
14 0 DREAM CATCHER B1 M L Yeung · K H Ting 4 112.0 22-1/4
— 0 PERFECT PEACH Led early B/H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz — 10.0 N

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-23 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ONE VOICE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with MARADO second and CASA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ONE VOICE—3. MARADO+0.5L4. CASA LEGEND+1.25L5. SUPER RED DRAGON+1.75L6. RED BRICK FIGHTER+1.75L7. SPLENDID LIVING+3L8. WIN WIN+3.75L9. MASTER OF LUCK+4.25L10. MAXIMIZE HEART+4.25L11. SO YOU TRUST+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick ONE VOICE (30.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ONE VOICE 30.1% 3.32 1
2 0 SUPER RED DRAGON 14.8% 6.75 5
3 0 PERFECT PEACH 12.8% 7.79 —
4 0 SPLENDID LIVING 7.7% 13.04 7
5 0 MARADO 7.3% 13.66 3
6 0 CASA LEGEND 5.4% 18.46 4
7 0 MAXIMIZE HEART 4.7% 21.26 10
8 0 RED BRICK FIGHTER 4.7% 21.32 6
9 0 WIN WIN 3.5% 28.56 8
10 0 MASTER OF LUCK 2.9% 34.83 9
11 0 ROYAL AGILITY 2.5% 40.57 12
12 0 SO YOU TRUST 1.6% 63.58 11
13 0 HAPPY FOREVER 1.2% 81.92 13
14 0 DREAM CATCHER 0.8% 130.73 14
ONE VOICE — wonSUPER RED DRAGONPERFECT PEACHSPLENDID LIVINGMARADOCASA LEGENDMAXIMIZE HEARTRED BRICK FIGHTERWIN WINMASTER OF LUCKROYAL AGILITYSO YOU TRUSTHAPPY FOREVERDREAM CATCHER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 28

PLACE

2 14

7 32.5

9 30

QUINELLA

2,9 143.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 77.5

2,9 57

7,9 151

FORECAST

2,9 253

TIERCE

2,9,7 1,448

TRIO

2,7,9 412

FIRST 4

2,7,9,14 1,031

QUARTET

2,9,7,14 12,890

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE

11/2 371.5

11/9 158

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 17.5