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Sha Tin · 2022-10-23 · 17:13

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course B+2 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-23 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING LAND, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with ENCHANTING IBIS second and BEAUTY TYCOON third. The 1.6 favourite VICTOR THE WINNER finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.08.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 KING LAND 1.08.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 9 75.0 N
2 14 ENCHANTING IBIS S De Sousa · A T Millard 10 12.0 N
3 8 BEAUTY TYCOON H/P A Badel · J Size 3 6.9 1/2
4 5 MIDORI BEAUTY TT Z Purton · W Y So 14 6.3 3/4
5 11 VICTOR THE WINNER TT M F Poon · C S Shum 1 1.6 1-1/4
6 9 TAMRA BLITZ H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 12 41.0 2-3/4
7 1 INVINCIBLE MISSILE TT C Wong · C Fownes 13 132.0 3-1/2
8 4 HAPPY SHARING TT R Maia · P C Ng 6 11.0 3-1/2
9 13 AWESOME TREASURE H1/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 4 65.0 3-3/4
10 10 TELECOM SPEED H Bentley · Y S Tsui 5 175.0 4-1/4
11 12 GOLDEN ARTIE K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 53.0 6-1/2
12 3 SAKEWIN CP1 M Chadwick · F C Lor 7 24.0 7-1/2
13 7 SPANGLE FORTUNE TT1 L Currie · K L Man 11 149.0 8
14 6 JAZZ CLUB C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 123.0 8
0 LIGHTNING WARRIOR Y L Chung · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KING LAND2. ENCHANTING IBIS+0.05L3. BEAUTY TYCOON+0.5L4. MIDORI BEAUTY+0.75L5. VICTOR THE WINNER+1.25L6. TAMRA BLITZ+2.75L7. INVINCIBLE MISSILE+3.5L8. HAPPY SHARING+3.5L9. AWESOME TREASURE+3.75L10. TELECOM SPEED+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick VICTOR THE WINNER (38.8%) finished 5th — the winner KING LAND was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 VICTOR THE WINNER 38.8% 2.58 5
2 5 MIDORI BEAUTY 13.8% 7.26 4
3 8 BEAUTY TYCOON 12.6% 7.91 3
4 4 HAPPY SHARING 10.8% 9.25 8
5 3 SAKEWIN 5.9% 17.00 12
6 14 ENCHANTING IBIS 5.8% 17.19 2
7 2 KING LAND 2.4% 42.34 1
8 1 INVINCIBLE MISSILE 2.0% 50.08 7
9 12 GOLDEN ARTIE 1.9% 53.32 11
10 7 SPANGLE FORTUNE 1.5% 66.07 13
11 9 TAMRA BLITZ 1.5% 66.80 6
12 13 AWESOME TREASURE 1.3% 74.63 9
13 6 JAZZ CLUB 1.0% 101.20 14
14 10 TELECOM SPEED 0.7% 137.66 10
VICTOR THE WINNERMIDORI BEAUTYBEAUTY TYCOONHAPPY SHARINGSAKEWINENCHANTING IBISKING LAND — wonINVINCIBLE MISSILEGOLDEN ARTIESPANGLE FORTUNETAMRA BLITZAWESOME TREASUREJAZZ CLUBTELECOM SPEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 759

PLACE

2 112

8 18

14 25.5

QUINELLA

2,14 3,299.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 402.5

2,14 673

8,14 90

FORECAST

2,14 5,661

TIERCE

2,14,8 43,492

TRIO

2,8,14 4,810

FIRST 4

2,5,8,14 3,618

QUARTET

2,14,8,5 148,410

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 71.5

A1

8TH DOUBLE

1/2 2,700

1/14 166