Sha Tin · 2022-10-23 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EL JEFE Closed strongly V1 1.21.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 3.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ZACIAN M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B/XB/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 3 | 7.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN MISSION B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 1 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | U W BROTHER Led early Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | QUORUM Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | 14 | 89.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | POLARIS WINNER Closed strongly B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 4 | 33.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD B/TT V Borges · K L Man | V Borges | K L Man | 5 | 22.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | THE JOLLY VO/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 34.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 9 | 55.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | MANY WINS B/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 117.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 0 | AURORA HERO B-/V1/TT S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 37-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-23 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. EL JEFE, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C H Yip, won by 3, with CHIU CHOW BROTHER second and SUNNY BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite SUNNY BABY finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 27.1% | 3.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN MISSION | 10.1% | 9.87 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | AURORA HERO | 10.1% | 9.88 | 14 |
| 4 | 0 | EL JEFE | 8.4% | 11.94 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 8.3% | 12.01 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 6.8% | 14.76 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | ZACIAN | 5.7% | 17.61 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | U W BROTHER | 5.6% | 17.85 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | THE JOLLY | 4.4% | 22.85 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 4.1% | 24.61 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | POLARIS WINNER | 4.0% | 24.84 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | QUORUM | 2.9% | 34.26 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 1.5% | 68.95 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | MANY WINS | 1.0% | 99.10 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 133
PLACE
2 14.5
5 29.5
8 37.5
QUINELLA
5,8 641
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 65.5
2,8 67.5
5,8 189.5
FORECAST
8,5 2,028
TIERCE
8,5,2 6,178
TRIO
2,5,8 528
FIRST 4
2,5,8,14 1,285
QUARTET
8,5,2,14 49,080
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 26.5