Sha Tin · 2022-10-23 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-23 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ACCELERANDO, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with OSCAR GLORY second and PAKISTAN FRIEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite TURQUOISE ALPHA finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ACCELERANDO Closed strongly TT1 1.33.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY Closed strongly V Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 3 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 9.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SHANGHAI DRAGON Led early B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ODE TO JOY Closed strongly H-/SR-/XB-/B2/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/H/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 7 | 3.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM H/XB/TT2 L Currie · Y S Tsui | L Currie | Y S Tsui | 1 | 59.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | FOREVER GLORIOUS TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | EZRA B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | RING BELLS Closed strongly B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 14 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | TOYCOON B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 33.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | KASI FARASI Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 6.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | LIFELINE VISION CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY | 18.6% | 5.37 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 13.2% | 7.57 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | KASI FARASI | 13.0% | 7.71 | 13 |
| 4 | 8 | LIFELINE VISION | 9.2% | 10.91 | 14 |
| 5 | 12 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 7.7% | 12.91 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | TOYCOON | 7.2% | 13.98 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 6.0% | 16.73 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | ROYAL PRIDE | 5.2% | 19.13 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | RING BELLS | 4.9% | 20.36 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | EZRA | 4.1% | 24.68 | 10 |
| 11 | 13 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 3.2% | 31.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | ODE TO JOY | 3.1% | 32.56 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | ACCELERANDO | 2.4% | 41.88 | 1 |
| 14 | 4 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 2.3% | 43.40 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 175.5
PLACE
1 21
11 55.5
12 30.5
QUINELLA
1,11 678.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 215.5
1,12 104
11,12 345.5
FORECAST
11,1 1,452
TIERCE
11,1,12 12,856
TRIO
1,11,12 2,324
FIRST 4
1,7,11,12 6,668
QUARTET
11,1,12,7 145,383
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/1 177
8/11 1,547
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 27
A2 —