Sha Tin · 2022-10-23 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-23 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CIRCUIT STELLAR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with SIGHT SPIRIT second and NEVER TOO SOON third. The winner led throughout. The 2.3 favourite POWERFUL WINGS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR Wire to wire H/TT 1.33.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | SIGHT SPIRIT Closed strongly A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 7 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SECRET VISION Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 8 | 8.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 2 | 2.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | TEMPEST EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | LOOKING COOL PC M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | WIDE BLUE YONDER CP/TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.7 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | CHEVALIER PRINCE CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 65.0 | 30-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | POWERFUL WINGS | 26.3% | 3.80 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | LOOKING COOL | 16.2% | 6.17 | 9 |
| 3 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED | 15.5% | 6.47 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 8.5% | 11.79 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 7.1% | 14.01 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 5.9% | 16.95 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 5.7% | 17.61 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK | 4.7% | 21.41 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | SECRET VISION | 4.4% | 22.61 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON | 3.8% | 26.34 | 3 |
| 11 | 10 | CHEVALIER PRINCE | 1.9% | 51.98 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 86.5
PLACE
1 20
2 54
3 43
QUINELLA
1,2 753.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 222
1,3 197.5
2,3 385.5
FORECAST
1,2 1,377
TIERCE
1,2,3 12,105
TRIO
1,2,3 4,495
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 4,756
QUARTET
1,2,3,5 109,830
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 29.5
5TH DOUBLE
12/1 746.5
12/2 223.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,4/1,6,12/Any Combination 10,891